College Basketball Picks

Montana vs Sacramento State 3/5/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

Sacramento State Hornets (9-17) vs. Montana Grizzlies (18-12)
March 5, 2022 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Montana Grizzlies -9 / Sacramento State Hornets +9; Over/Under: 141
(Get latest betting odds)

The Sacramento State Hornets will travel to Dahlberg Arena to take on the Montana Grizzlies this Saturday night in College Basketball action.

The Sacramento State Hornets had their 3-game winning streak snapped and dropped to 9-17 on the season after being defeated by the Montana State Bobcats, 75-69, this past Thursday. Sacramento State struggled on the offensive end in the 2nd half against Montana State and could not fight back after the Bobcats took a 68-62 lead with 2:37 left in regulation. Sacramento State shot 45.2% from the field & 40.0% from beyond the arc while allowing Montana State to shoot 44.8% from the field & 22.7% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Hornets was Zach Chappell who had 22 points, 5 rebounds, 3 assists, & 1 steal.

On the season, Sacramento State is averaging 65.7 ppg on 43.1% shooting from the field. The Hornets are averaging 7.0 three-pointers per game on 36.3% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Sacramento State has been led by Bryce Fowler (18.0 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 4.1 apg, 1.5 spg), Zach Chappell (11.7 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 2.3 apg, 1.3 spg), William FitzPatrick (10.0 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 1.2 apg), & Cameron Wilbon (8.8 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.2 spg).

Defensively, Sacramento State is allowing their opponents to average 70.3 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Hornets have a rebound margin of -5.0 and a turnover margin of 1.0.

The Montana Grizzlies dropped to 18-12 on the season after being defeated by the Northern Colorado Bears, 75-66, this past Thursday. Montana trailed by a 34-27 margin at halftime and could not fight back after the Bears took a 66-57 lead with 2:31 left in regulation. Montana shot 44.2% from the field & 36.4% from beyond the arc while allowing Northern Colorado to shoot 50.9% from the field & 35.3% from beyond the arc. Leading the way for the Grizzlies was Josh Bannan who had 12 points, 9 rebounds, 2 assists, & 1 steal.

On the season, Montana is averaging 72.8 ppg on 45.3% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies are averaging 7.2 three-pointers per game on 35.5% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Montana has been led by Josh Bannan (15.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.5 apg), Robby Beasley III (12.1 ppg, 2.7 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.0 spg), Brandon Whitney (11.0 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 2.1 apg), & Cameron Parker (9.2 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 4.7 apg).

Defensively, Montana is allowing their opponents to average 66.7 ppg on 43.6% shooting from the field. The Grizzlies have a rebound margin of -3.2 and a turnover margin of 3.3.

The Hornets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 game overall & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.

Sacramento State has won 3 of their last 4 games, however, this is a team that has struggled on both ends of the court this season as the Hornets come into this game ranked just 303rd in scoring offense, 205th in scoring defense, & 283rd in defensive FG%. Montana is 14-2 at home this season and between the fact that the Grizzlies defeated Sacramento State by a 65-58 margin on the road earlier this season and that I think the Montana defense, which ranks 100th in scoring defense & 36th in turnover margin, will give the Hornets trouble, I’m taking Montana to win this by double-digits and cover this spread. Good Luck!

Brett Nault's Free Pick: Montana Grizzlies -9

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Brett Nault

Brett has been involved with sports his entire life, whether playing them or betting on them, and loves using his education in data analytics to break down all matchups to get you a competitive edge. Follow Brett Nault on Twitter @BrettCU05

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