Montana vs UC Davis Prediction Basketball Picks 11-12-23
Montana Grizzlies (1-1) vs UC Davis Aggies (2-0)
2023-11-12 21:00:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Montana Grizzlies -2.5 -- Over/Under: 143
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In a thrilling early-season NCAAB matchup, the UC Davis Aggies, undefeated with a 2-0 record after a 79-78 nail biting home win over the Pepperdine Waves, are set to battle the Montana Grizzlies, holding a 1-1 record after a 75-61 road loss to the Oregon Ducks. This contest, slated for November 12 on ESPN+, is more than just a game; it’s a clash of emerging titans in college basketball. This game is not just about the scores but also about the emerging talents and strategic gameplay from both teams.
Emerging Force
The UC Davis Aggies have started their season with a promising 2-0 record, showcasing their potential as a strong contender in the Big West Conference. Their 82.5 points per game reflects a competent offense capable of putting up significant numbers on the board. A major contributor to their success is guard Elijah Pepper, leading the team with an impressive average of 22.5 points per game. His performance has been pivotal in the Aggies’ offensive strategy. Additionally, guard Ty Johnson, the team’s second-leading scorer, averages 17.5 points, further bolstering their offensive prowess.
In terms of rebounds, UC Davis has been holding their own with an average of 34.0 total rebounds per game, a stat they’ll look to improve. Forward Ade Adebayo leads the team in this category, averaging 6.0 rebounds per game. His presence on the glass is critical for the Aggies to maintain control of the game’s pace. Guard Leo DeBruhl, with an average of 4.0 assists per game, is the team’s top playmaker, showcasing his ability to distribute the ball effectively and create scoring opportunities for his teammates.
The Aggies’ shooting percentages are noteworthy, with a 49.1 field goal percentage and a 30.6% success rate from beyond the arc. While there’s room for improvement in their three-point shooting, their overall field goal percentage indicates a team that takes smart shots and executes their offense efficiently. The Aggies’ recent wins against Pepperdine and William Jessup demonstrate their capability to perform under pressure and pull through in close games. As they prepare to face Montana, UC Davis will rely on their balanced offense and aim to leverage their shooting strengths to dominate the game.
Balanced and Resilient
The Montana Grizzlies have kicked off their season with a balanced 1-1 record, indicating a team with potential but still finding its rhythm. Their offense is averaging 84.0 points across two games. This scoring ability is largely thanks to the efforts of guard Aanen Moody, who leads the team with 21.0 points per game, and guard Money Williams, the second-leading scorer with an average of 16 points. This duo’s scoring proficiency is crucial for the Grizzlies’ success on the offensive end.
Montana’s rebounding game is significantly stronger than their opponent’s, with an average of 41.5 rebounds per game. Forward Dischon Thomas, leading the team with 7.0 rebounds per game, has been a key figure in controlling the boards. His ability to secure rebounds is vital for Montana to maintain possession and create second-chance scoring opportunities. In terms of assists, forward Laolu Oke averages 3.0 assists per game, playing a central role in facilitating Montana’s offense.
The Grizzlies’ shooting efficiency is a strong suit, with a field goal percentage of 51.2, ranking them 69th. Their three-point shooting, however, is an area for improvement, with a 30.8% success rate. Montana’s recent performances, including a significant win against Northwest Indian College and a loss to a strong Oregon team, showcase their ability to score high points but also highlight areas where they need to tighten up their game. As they face UC Davis, Montana will look to capitalize on their rebounding advantage and maintain their shooting efficiency to assert their dominance in the game.
David’s Pick – UC Davis
Analyzing the stats and recent performances of both UC Davis and Montana, the prediction leans towards UC Davis as the favored team to win this matchup. UC Davis’ offensive efficiency, led by Elijah Pepper and Ty Johnson, combined with their decent field goal percentage, positions them as a team capable of executing their offensive strategies effectively. Montana, while having a better rebounding game and a slightly higher field goal percentage, will need to contend with UC Davis’ balanced scoring threat.
The key for UC Davis will be to maintain their offensive rhythm and exploit any gaps in Montana’s defense, especially from the perimeter, where their three-point shooting can be a decisive factor. For Montana, capitalizing on their rebounding strength and improving their 3-point shooting will be crucial to keeping pace with the Aggies. Expect a closely contested game, but UC Davis’ offensive depth and shooting efficiency might just give them the edge to secure a win in this exciting college basketball showdown.