Murray State vs Bradley Prediction 3/1/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Murray State (20-10) vs. Bradley (19-11)
March 1, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Bradley -3.5; Over/Under: 158.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Murray State vs Bradley Prediction for this college basketball game on Sunday, March 1st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Bradley Braves Preview
The Bradley Braves have a 19-11 overall record and a 12-7 record in the MVC. They are coming off a 93-86 road loss against UIC and their previous three games were a 74-60 home win against Illinois State, a 79-72 road loss against Valparaiso and a 70-60 road win against Southern Illinois.
Offensively, Bradley averages 77.1 points per game, while allowing 72.9 points per game defensively. The Braves shoot with 44% from the field and grab 34.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13 assists per game. They average 3.1 blocks per game and 7.9 steals per game defensively.
Jaquan Johnson leads Bradley in scoring, with an average of 17.4 points per game, while shooting with 44.4% from the field and 79.6% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 3.5 assists. AJ Smith is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.3 per game.
Murray State Racers Preview
The Murray State Racers have a 20-10 overall record and a 12-7 record in the MVC. They are coming off an 88-75 home win against Evansville and their previous three games were a 78-61 road loss against Illinois State, an 87-70 home loss against Belmont and a 74-72 road win against Indiana State.
Offensively, Murray State averages 83.7 points per game, while allowing 79.3 points per game defensively. The Racers shoot with 46% from the field and grab 36.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.8 assists per game. They average 4 blocks per game and 6 steals per game defensively.
Javon Jackson leads Murray State in scoring, with an average of 16.2 points per game, while shooting with 42.4% from the field and 86.2% from the free throw line. Fred King is the team’s leading rebounder with 8.4 per game. Layne Taylor leads the team in assists with 3.4 per game.
Murray State Racers @ Bradley Braves Betting Trends: March 1, 2026
Why the Bradley Braves will win
- Bradley has won each of its last eight day games at Carver Arena.
- Murray State has lost three of its last four road day games against Conference opponents.
- Bradley has won the first half in seven of its last eight day games at Carver Arena.
Why the Murray State Racers will win
- Murray State has won six of its last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Murray State has won the first half in each of its last six day games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Bradley’s last 13 Sunday games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
- Thirty-three of Murray State’s last 41 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
Murray State vs Bradley Prediction
In this Murray State vs Bradley Prediction, Bradley is coming as -4 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season and both have been in mediocre form lately. Bradley is 5-3 in its last 8 games, while Murray State is 4-6 in its last 10 and both have been terrible against the spread, with a 3-7 and 2-8 ATS record in their last 10 games each. They both are 7-4 to the under in their last 11 games combined and their previous meeting this season was a low-scoring one. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 head-to-head matches, so I will go under 158.5 points in this one.