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Murray State vs Evansville Prediction 3/6/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Evansville (11-20) vs. Murray State (15-16)
March 6, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Murray State -5.5; Over/Under: 130
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Murray State vs Evansville prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 6th at the Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Murray State Racers Betting Preview

The Murray State Racers are 15-16 (9-11) this year after they lost to Belmont by a score of 70-60 in their last game. Murray State trailed 41-22 at halftime, but they did win the second half by a total of 38-29 in the loss. The Racers shot 33.3% from the field, 25% on three pointers, and 88.2% on free throws in the game. Nick Ellington led Murray State with 19 points and four rebounds, while JaCobi Wood added 12 points and seven assists in the loss. 



Prior to that game, the Racers defeated Indiana State by a score of 85-75, but did lose to Bradley by a score of 85-83 before that. Murray State has alternated wins and losses over their last six games and they finished seventh in the MVC standings with a 9-11 record. Murray State has scored 72.1 points per game and they have allowed 69.6 points against per game, while also averaging 34 rebounds and 11.6 assists per game this season. JaCobi Wood is averaging 13.5 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game, while Terence Harcum is averaging 11.9 points, 2.4 rebounds, and 2.0 assists per game this year. Murray State is shooting 43.5% from the field, 72.4% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this season. 

Evansville Purple Aces Betting Preview

The Evansville Purple Aces are 11-20 (8-12) this season after they lost to Illinois State by a score of 62-53 in their last game. Evansville trailed 34-23 at halftime, but did outscore Illinois State by a total of 30-28 in the second half in the loss. The Purple Aces shot 45.5% from the field, 21.4% on three pointers, and 71.4% on free throws in the game. Tanner Cuff led Evansville with 15 points and four assists, while Connor Turnbull added 14 points and seven rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Purple Aces lost to Drake by a score of 65-61 and UIC by a score of 82-77. Evansville has lost six of their last eight games and they finished tied for eighth in the MVC standings with an 8-12 record. Evansville has scored 66.5 points per game and they have allowed 70.6 points against per game, while also averaging 33.1 rebounds and 12.8 assists per game this season. Tayshawn Comer is averaging 16.0 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game, while Gabriel Pozzato is averaging 15.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game this year. Evansville is shooting 43.5% from the field, 69.6% on free throws, and 30.5% on three pointers this season. 

Why Murray State will beat Evansville

  • Evansville has lost eight of its last nine games at Enterprise Center.
  • Murray State has won five of its last six games against Evansville.
  • Murray State has won the first half in each of its last six games against Evansville.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Murray State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (17.6).
  • Murray State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.5).
  • Evansville ranks T19th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).

Murray State vs Evansville Prediction 

Evansville comes into this matchup trying to snap a three game losing streak, but they have scored just 61 and 53 points in their last two games. The Purple Aces are shooting 43.5% from the field this year, but they did play Drake very tough two games ago. Murray State has had trouble stringing wins together over the last few weeks, but they have done a nice job of bouncing back after a loss. The Racers are also shooting 43.5% from the field this season, but they have scored 85 and 83 points in two of their last three games. Both of these teams won one game in the regular season series, but I have to side with Murray State here, as I don’t trust the Evansville offense right now. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Murray State -5.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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