NC State vs North Carolina Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today
North Carolina (10-6) vs. NC State (9-6)
January 11, 2025 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: NC State +5.5; Over/Under: 153.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Carolina Tar Heels and NC State Wolfpack meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Lenovo Center. Here’s a NC State vs North Carolina Prediction. This article will include a NC State vs North Carolina Pick.
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels beat Notre Dame and SMU, and they play Cal, Stanford, and Wake Forest next. The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 84.5 points on 47.4 percent shooting and allowing 78.5 points on 42.4 percent shooting. RJ Davis is averaging 18.2 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Ian Jackson is averaging 15.1 points and 3.6 rebounds. Seth Trimble is the third double-digit scorer and Elliot Cadeau is grabbing 3 rebounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 33.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game.
NC State Wolfpack Betting Preview
The NC State Wolfpack lost to Wake Forest, beat Notre Dame, and they play Virginia Tech, Cal, and SMU next. The NC State Wolfpack are averaging 73 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 67.1 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Marcus Hill is averaging 12.8 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Jayden Taylor is averaging 12.2 points and 2.5 rebounds. Dontrez Styles is dishing 0.4 assists and Ben Middlebrooks is grabbing 4.2 rebounds. The NC State Wolfpack are shooting 32.6 percent from beyond the arc and 69.6 percent from the free throw line. The NC State Wolfpack are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game.
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- The home team has won each of NC State’s last seven games.
- NC State has won the first half in five of its last six day games at Lenovo Center.
Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win
- North Carolina has won each of its last 12 day games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
- NC State has lost six of its last eight day games.
- North Carolina has won the first half in five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Carolina’s last 10 road day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
- Thirteen of NC State’s last 14 games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
NC State vs North Carolina Injury Report
The North Carolina Tar Heels don’t have a player listed on their injury report. The NC State Wolfpack will be without Mike James.
NC State vs North Carolina Prediction
I’m not excited to back either of these teams, as North Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games and NC State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games. However, somebody has to win. The North Carolina Tar Heels have found their form as of late with wins in six of their last eight games and the offense has picked up. NC State has lost three of its last five games and almost lost to a subpar Notre Dame squad. Usually I want the points in a rivalry game, and a home dog in a rivalry game is even better. The problem is, the favorite has covered seven of the last 10 games between UNC and NC State. I’ll lay the points with the Tar Heels on the road.
