Nevada vs Murray State Prediction 3/18/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Murray State (20-12) vs. Nevada (22-12)
March 18, 2026 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Nevada -8.5; Over/Under: 163.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Nevada vs Murray State prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 18th at the Lawlor Events Center in Reno, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 22-12 (12-8) this season after they lost to Utah State by a score of 79-66 in their last game. Nevada trailed 39-32 at halftime and they allowed 40 points in the second half in the loss. The Wolf Pack shot 41% from the field, 26% on three pointers, and 65% on free throws in the game. Vaughn Weems led Nevada with 17 points and nine rebounds, while Chuck Bailey III added 10 points and two rebounds in the loss.
Prior to that game, Nevada defeated Grand Canyon by a score of 84-80 and Air Force by a score of 80-45. The Wolf Pack have scored 75.9 points per game with 36.0 rebounds and 14.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 71.6 points against per game this season. Corey Camper Jr is averaging 17.0 points and 4.4 rebounds per game, while Tayshawn Comer is averaging 11.4 points and 3.5 assists per game for the Wolf Pack. Nevada is shooting 43.9% from the field, 75.2% on free throws, and 36.2% on three pointers this season.
Murray State Racers Betting Preview
The Murray State Racers are 20-12 (12-8) this year after they lost to UIC by a score of 92-79 in their last game. Murray State trailed 50-32 at halftime, but they did score 47 points in the second half in the loss. The Racers shot 37% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 69% on free throws in the game. Javon Jackson led Murray State with 30 points and two rebounds, while Mason Miller added 12 points and three rebounds in the loss.
Prior to that game, Murray State lost to Bradley by a score of 87-78, but did beat Evansville by a score of 88-75 before that. The Racers have scored 83.3 points per game with 36.4 rebounds and 13.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 79.9 points against per game this season. Javon Jackson is averaging 16.5 points and 2.8 assists per game, while Roman Domon is averaging 14.1 points and 5.1 rebounds per game for the Racers. Murray State is shooting 46.0% from the field, 75.7% on free throws, and 34.8% on three pointers this year.
Why the Nevada Wolf Pack will win
- Nevada has won each of its last eight games at Lawlor Events Center.
- Murray State has lost four of its last five games.
- Nevada has won the first half in each of its last three games against non-Conference opponents at Lawlor Events Center.
Why the Murray State Racers will win
- Murray State has won each of its last four games against non-Conference opponents.
- Nevada has lost three of its last four night games.
- Murray State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Nevada’s last seven games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
- Fifty of Murray State’s last 59 night games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Nevada ranks T9th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.4).
- Nevada ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (25.8).
- Murray State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (17.1).
- Murray State ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (6.2).
Nevada vs Murray State Prediction
Murray State comes into this matchup after losing four of their last five games and they have allowed 87+ points in three of their last five. The Racers are shooting 46% from the field and they score a ton of points, but their defense is not good. Nevada has won three of their last four games and they have scored at least 80 points in two of their last three. I think Murray State has the advantage on offense, but their defense can’t be trusted. Take Nevada to cover at home here.
