New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction 2/16/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Utah State (22-3) vs. New Mexico (21-4)
February 16, 2025 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: New Mexico -5.5; Over/Under: 159.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Utah State Aggies and the New Mexico Lobos meet Sunday in college basketball action from The Pit. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Utah State vs. New Mexico prediction.
Utah State Recap
The Utah State Aggies come into this game looking to add on to their 93-85 win over Colorado State last time out to improve to 22-3 on the year. After this game, Utah State will head home for a game against San Jose State.
Aggies Win Three In A Row
Ian Martinez leads the Aggies in scoring with 16.9 PPG and 2.9 APG along with 3.4 RPG while Mason Falslev has 14.8 PPG with a team-high 6.2 RPG and 3.8 APG to lead the Aggies in rebounding as the only other double-digit scorer for Utah State up to this point in the year. Karson Templin has 8.5 PPG with 5.4 RPG while Dexter Akanno has 8.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and Drake Allen’s added a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Aggies in assists. As a team, Utah State is averaging 81.8 PPG on 49.8% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three, and 68.8% from the foul line this season.
Why the Utah State Aggies will win
- Utah State has won eight of its last nine road games against the Mountain West Conference.
New Mexico Recap
The New Mexico Lobos come into add on to their 71-67 win over Wyoming last time out to improve to 21-4 on the year. After this game, New Mexico will head on the road for a matchup against the Boise State Broncos.
Lobos Win 7th In A Row
Donovan Dent leads the Lobos in scoring and assists with 19.6 PPG and 6.5 APG along with 2.6 RPG while Nelly Junior Joseph has 13.6 PPG with a team-high 10.9 RPG to lead the Lobos in rebounding so far this season. Mustapha Amzil has 12.1 PPG with 5.5 RPG and Tru Washington has 11.1 PPG with 3.9 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for New Mexico up to this point in the year. CJ Noland has 8.8 PPG with 2.8 RPG while Filip Borovicanin has 5.5 PPG with 4.6 RPG. As a team, New Mexico is averaging 83.2 PPG on 46.3% shooting from the field, 35.5% from behind the three-point line, and 68% from the foul line up to this point in the year.
Why the New Mexico Lobos will win
- New Mexico has won 17 of its last 18 games against the Mountain West Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of New Mexico’s last 10 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
- Twenty-nine of Utah State’s last 33 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
Utah State vs. New Mexico Prediction
I’m with New Mexico here. I get the case to be made for Utah State as it’s not often that you’re going to get points like this with a team that’s 22-3 this season. That being said, Utah State has faced a fairly soft road schedule in Mountain West conference play, and the Pit, year after year, for good reason, is heralded as one of the toughest road environments, not just in the Mountain West, but in the entire country. I think that New Mexico comes out with a point to prove here and I think the Lobos get the win and cover at home. I’ll lay the points with New Mexico here.
