North Carolina vs Ohio State Prediction 12/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Ohio State (8-2) vs. North Carolina (10-1)
December 20, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: North Carolina -3.5; Over/Under: 154.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Carolina Tar Heels and Ohio State Buckeyes meet Saturday in the college basketball action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a North Carolina vs Ohio State Prediction. This article will include a North Carolina vs Ohio State Pick.
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels beat SC Upstate and East Tennessee State, and they play East Carolina next. North Carolina has won 10 of its last 11 games.
The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 80.8 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 64.1 points on 37 percent shooting. Caleb Wilson is averaging 19.5 points and 10.4 rebounds, while Henri Veesaar is averaging 16.9 points and 9.1 rebounds. Seth Trimble is the third double-digit scorer and Luka Bogavac is grabbing 3 rebounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 32.7 percent from beyond the arc and 69.6 percent from the free throw line. The North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 30.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39 rebounds per game.
Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview
The Ohio State Buckeyes lost to Illinois, beat West Virginia, and they play Grambling next. Ohio State has won 8 of its last 10 games.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are averaging 87.6 points on 51.2 percent shooting and allowing 72.9 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Bruce Thornton is averaging 21.9 points and 5 rebounds, while John Mobley Jr. is averaging 13.8 points and 2.3 rebounds. Christoph Tilly is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Royal is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Ohio State Buckeyes are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The Ohio State Buckeyes are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game.
Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win
- North Carolina has won each of its last nine games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Ohio State has lost five of its last six day games against AP-ranked opponents.
- North Carolina has won the first half in 26 of its last 27 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win
- Ohio State has won 10 of its last 11 games against non-Conference opponents.
- North Carolina has lost three of its last four games as a top-15 AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
- North Carolina has lost the first half in each of its last six day games against the Big Ten Conference.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Carolina’s last six day games have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
- Seven of Ohio State’s last eight day games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
North Carolina vs Ohio State Prediction
I was high on Ohio State entering the season, but losses to Illinois and Pittsburgh don’t look good. OSU also need overtime to beat West Virginia. Ohio State is 4-6 ATS on the season and I need to see this team perform against good competition. North Carolina has checked a lot of boxes this season, is solid at both ends, and is 7-4 ATS. On a neutral site, I’d need more points to give Ohio State an honest look. North Carolina and the small number has to be the play here, as it’s been far more consistent and impressive.