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North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction 2/22/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Virginia (13-13) vs. North Carolina (16-11)
February 22, 2025 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: North Carolina -9; Over/Under: 143
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a North Carolina vs Virginia prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 22nd at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview

The North Carolina Tar Heels are 16-11 (9-6) this year after they defeated NC State by a score of 97-73 in their last game. North Carolina led 54-26 at halftime, but they were outscored 47-43 in the second half in the win. The Tar Heels shot 57.4% from the field, 40% on three pointers, and 79.2% on free throws in the game. RJ Davis led North Carolina with 21 points and five assists, while Seth Trimble added 15 points and seven rebounds in the win. 


Prior to that victory, the Tar Heels defeated Syracuse by a score of 88-82, but did lose to Clemson by a score of 85-65 before that. North Carolina has won three of their last four games and they are currently sixth in the ACC standings with a 9-6 record. North Carolina has scored 80.9 points per game and they have allowed 76.7 points against per game, while also averaging 36.8 rebounds and 14.4 assists per game this season. RJ Davis is averaging 17.5 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 3.9 assists per game, while Ian Jackson is averaging 13.6 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 1.0 assist per game this year. North Carolina is shooting 47.4% from the field, 73.6% on free throws, and 33.2% on three pointers this season. 

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers are 13-13 (6-9) this season after they lost to Duke by a score of 80-62 in their last game. Virginia trailed 43-29 at halftime and they only managed 33 points in the second half in the loss. The Cavaliers shot 38.5% from the field, 36.4% on three pointers, and 82.4% on free throws in the game. Andrew Rohde led Virginia with 15 points and five rebounds, while Dai Dai Ames added 15 points and three assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Cavaliers defeated Virginia Tech by a score of 73-70 and Georgia Tech by a score of 75-61. Virginia has won three of their last four games and they are currently tied for 11th in the ACC standings with a 6-9 record. Virginia has scored 64.5 points per game and they have allowed 65.5 points against per game, while also averaging 30.3 rebounds and 15.3 assists per game this season. Isaac McKneely is averaging 13.7 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 3.0 assists per game, while Elijah Saunders is averaging 10.9 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 0.8 assists per game this year. Virginia is shooting 44.5% from the field, 75% on free throws, and 37.6% on three pointers this season. 

Why North Carolina will beat Virginia

  • North Carolina has won each of its last 10 games at Dean E. Smith Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • Virginia has lost four of its last five day games.
  • North Carolina has won the first half in each of its last 12 games at Dean E. Smith Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why Virginia will beat North Carolina

  • The road team has won six of Virginia’s last seven games.
  • North Carolina has lost four of its last five games following a home win.
  • The road team has won the first half in six of Virginia’s last seven games.

North Carolina vs Virginia Prediction 

North Carolina comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they will be at home, where they have won five of their last six games. The Tar Heels are shooting 47.4% from the field this year and they have scored 88 and 97 points in their last two games. Virginia has won three of their last four games and they have scored at least 73 points in four of their last five. The Cavaliers have been pretty solid on offense over the last two months, after starting the season pretty low scoring. Take the over in this matchup. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 143

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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