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North Texas vs Wichita State Prediction 3/3/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Wichita State (17-11) vs. North Texas (21-6)
March 3, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: North Texas -7.5; Over/Under: 127.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a North Texas vs Wichita State Prediction for this college basketball game on Monday, March 3rd, at the UNT Coliseum. Let’s take a look at a North Texas Mean Green vs Wichita State Shockers pick. 

When these two teams faced off in January it was North Texas that secured the 58-54 victory. The visiting team has won the last three games played between these two. 



What a Disappointing Game for Wichita State

Wichita State was playing well at home this season, but they are coming off a loss they wish they could have back. The Shockers faced off against the UAB Blazers, scoring 72 points, but the defense gave up 80. The Shockers shot 46.6 percent from the field and only 21.1 percent from deep. They need to hit more shots from deep in this game. Corey Washington did have a considerable game trying to keep Wichita State in it, putting up 24 points and 11 rebounds. Two games ago against Tulane, they played better and picked up the 76-67 victory. 

The Shockers have a 17-11 overall record and are 11-4-2 against the spread. They have done a good job with the offense, but the defense hasn’t been great. They give up 73 points per game, which is 213th in college basketball. Xavier Bell has been the top player, averaging 15.2 points while shooting 42 percent from the field and 36,5 percent from behind the three-point line. 

North Texas Keeps Winning

North Texas keeps winning games, and they have won five games in a row. Two games ago against South Florida, North Texas picked up the 64-57 victory, and in the last game against FAU, they won 71-61. They were up by three at halftime, and the defense gave up only 27 points in the second half. North Texas shot 52.9 percent from the field, and they will need the shooting to be good again. Brenan Lorient had a strong game, putting up 16 points, eight rebounds, and five assists. Three different players put up at least 10 points. Even though they won, they could get more production from some starters. The last loss came exactly a month ago against the UAB Blazers. 

The Mean Green have a 21-6 record overall, and they have gone 14-9-2 against the spread. At home, they have gone 11-1 and, as the favorite, 17-1. North Texas wants to keep the pace slower, and their defense is one of the best in the country. They are giving up only 58.9 points per game, which is 2nd in all of college basketball. In the first game against Wichita State, the defense was elite and they must be at the same level. Atin Wright has been the top player, averaging 13.6 points while shooting 38.8 percent from the field and 40 percent from deep. 

Matchup/League Facts

  • North Texas ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (19.9).
  • North Texas ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for pace this season (60.4).
  • Wichita State ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (38.8).
  • Wichita State ranks 32nd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (10.9).

North Texas vs Wichita State Prediction

This game will feature a team with an elite defense and an inconsistent offense, but we already have a good idea about what the Shockers do against North Texas.  In the first game between these two teams, there weren’t even 120 points scored, and this game will be much of the same. This North Texas defense is elite, giving up only 58.9 points per game. They haven’t cared what type of offense they have played this season; they have locked it down. Their pace has also helped keep games lower scoring. North Texas might reach 60 points here, but they aren’t going to get much higher than that, and this game will end up staying under the total. This is one of my favorite plays on the board. 

 

 

 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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