Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction 3/4/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Ohio State (18-11) vs. Penn State (12-17)
March 4, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Penn State +6.5; Over/Under: 155.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate an Ohio State vs. Penn State prediction for this college basketball matchup on Wednesday, March 4th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Penn State Preview
Penn State is 12-17 this season and has a 3-15 record in the Big 10. In their previous game, they won 71-69 against Iowa at home and are led in scoring by Freddie Dilione V, with an average of 14 points per game, while shooting 47.2% from the field and 84.1% from the free throw line. Ivan Juric leads the team in rebounding with 5.4 per game, while Kayden Mingo leads the team in dimes made with 4.3 per game.
Penn State scores 74.8 points per game offensively, while allowing 79.1 points per game defensively. They have a 47% field goal percentage and average 29.5 boards per game, 12.6 dimes per game, 1.7 blocks and 7.1 steals per game.
Ohio State Preview
Ohio State is 18-11 this season and has a 10-8 record in the Big 10. In their previous game, they won against Purdue at home by 82-74 and are led in scoring by Bruce Thornton, with an average of 20 points per game, while shooting 54.5% from the field and 81.6% from the free throw line. He also adds a team-high 3.7 dimes per game, while Devin Royal leads the team in rebounding, with 5.6 per game.
Ohio State scores 79.6 points per game offensively, while allowing 73.2 points per game defensively. They have a 49% field goal percentage and average 34 boards per game, 14.2 dimes per game, 2.5 blocks and 4.9 steals per game.
Why the Penn State Nittany Lions will win
- The home team has won each of Ohio State’s last four games.
- Ohio State has lost each of its last four away games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Penn State has won the first half in 25 of its last 32 games at Bryce Jordan Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win
- Penn State has lost 10 of its last 11 night games against conference opponents.
- Ohio State has won seven of its last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Ohio State has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games against Penn State.
Total Points: Facts
- Eight of Ohio State’s last nine road night games against conference opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
- Seven of Penn State’s last eight games against conference opponents at Bryce Jordan Center have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction
The Buckeyes have a better overall record this season and are better at covering the spread but they have been shaky lately, as they have not won or lost a second straight game for the whole month of February. On the flip side, the Nittany Lions have not been in good form either, as they are 3-7 in their last 10 matches, so I cannot pick a side in this matchup. From a total perspective, both squads have gone 6-2 to the under in their last 8 matches combined and two of their last three head-to-head matches have also been low-scoring ones. Take the under 155.5 points in this one.