Ohio State vs Virginia Prediction 2/14/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Virginia (21-3) vs. Ohio State (16-8)
February 14, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ohio State +4.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Virginia Cavaliers and Ohio State Buckeyes meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Bridgestone Arena. Here’s a Ohio State vs Virginia Prediction. This article will include a Ohio State vs Virginia Pick.
Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Virginia Cavaliers beat Florida State and Syracuse, and they play Georgia Tech next. Virginia has won 10 of its last 11 games.
The Virginia Cavaliers are averaging 81.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting and allowing 67.5 points on 39.3 percent shooting. Thijs De Ridder is averaging 16.1 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Malik Thomas is averaging 12.2 points and 1.7 assists. Sam Lewis is the third double-digit scorer, and Chance Mallory is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Virginia Cavaliers are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 70.2 percent from the free throw line. The Virginia Cavaliers are allowing 29.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game.
Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview
The Ohio State Buckeyes beat USC, lost to Michigan, and they play Wisconsin next. Ohio State has won 8 of its last 13 games.
The Ohio State Buckeyes are averaging 81.6 points on 48.9 percent shooting and allowing 73.8 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Bruce Thornton is averaging 19.3 points and 5.3 rebounds, while John Mobley Jr. is averaging 15.1 points and 2.5 rebounds. Devin Royal is the third double-digit scorer, and Christoph Tilly is grabbing 4.8 rebounds. The Ohio State Buckeyes are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Ohio State Buckeyes are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win
- Ohio State has won 11 of its last 12 night games against non-conference opponents.
- Virginia has lost each of its last four night games played at neutral venues.
- Ohio State has won the first half in 21 of its last 25 night games against non-conference opponents.
Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win
- Virginia has won each of its last 12 night games.
- Ohio State has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Virginia has won the first half in each of its last 10 games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Virginia’s last 23 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
- Seven of Ohio State’s last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
Ohio State vs Virginia Prediction
Virginia has failed to cover 4 of its last 5 games, and Ohio State needs a signature win to pad that resume. However, this line feels short. Virginia is an above-average team on both sides of the ball and is the same team on the road, where it has 7 wins. Ohio State can score the ball and defends at a decent clip, but the ceiling just isn’t as high. I would need more points to bet against Virginia. I’ll lay the points with the Cavs on the road.
