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Oklahoma State vs Colorado Prediction 3/10/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Oklahoma State (18-13) vs. Colorado (17-14)
March 10, 2026 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Colorado -2.5; Over/Under: 164.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate an Oklahoma State vs Colorado Prediction for this Big 12 Tournament 1st Round matchup on Tuesday, March 10th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Colorado Buffaloes Preview

The Colorado Buffaloes have a 17-14 overall record and a 7-11 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off an 89-79 home loss against Arizona and their previous three games were a 92-78 road win against Utah, a 102-62 road loss against Houston and a 79-70 home win against Kansas State.

Offensively, Colorado averages 79.9 points per game, while allowing 79 points per game defensively. The Buffaloes shoot with 47% from the field and grab 34.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.6 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 6.4 steals per game defensively.

Isaiah Johnson leads Colorado in scoring, with an average of 17 points per game, while shooting with 49.4% from the field and 82.3% from the free throw line. Bangot Dak is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.5 per game. Barrington Hargress leads the team in assists with 4.4 per game.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Preview

The Oklahoma State Cowboys have an 18-13 overall record and a 6-12 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off an 82-75 home win against Houston and their previous three games were a 111-104 road win against UCF, a 91-68 road loss against Cincinnati and a 91-84 home win against West Virginia.

Offensively, Oklahoma State averages 83.9 points per game, while allowing 82.5 points per game defensively. The Cowboys shoot with 46% from the field and grab 37.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.8 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game defensively.

Anthony Roy leads Oklahoma State in scoring, with an average of 16.7 points per game, while shooting with 42.9% from the field and 84.9% from the free throw line. Parsa Fallah is the team’s leading rebounder with 6 rebounds per game. Kanye Clary leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game.

Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Colorado Buffaloes Betting Trends: March 10, 2026

 

Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win

  • Colorado has won each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Oklahoma State has lost four of its last five games at T-Mobile Center.
  • Colorado has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Oklahoma State Cowboys will win

  • Oklahoma State has won five of its last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
  • Colorado has lost 18 of its last 22 night games against Conference opponents.
  • Colorado has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Colorado’s last 23 night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.
  • Twenty-nine of Oklahoma State’s last 31 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 164 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Colorado ranks 46th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.52).
  • Colorado ranks 48th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (76.1%).
  • Oklahoma State ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (73.4).
  • Oklahoma State ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (64.2).

Oklahoma State vs Colorado Prediction

In this Oklahoma State vs Colorado Prediction, Colorado is coming as -2.5 favorites. Both teams have similar overall records this season but Colorado has been slightly better against the spread. Neither team is coming into this matchup in good form, as Colorado is 3-4 in its last 7 games and Oklahoma State 2-7 in its last 9 and Colorado won their regular season meeting by 14 points at home. I like the value with Colorado in this one, so lay the short number.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Colorado -2.5

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