Oklahoma vs Missouri Prediction 3/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Oklahoma vs Missouri prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, March 5th at the Lloyd Noble Center in Norman, Oklahoma. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview

The Oklahoma Sooners are 17-12 (4-12) this year after they lost to Ole Miss by a score of 87-84 in their last game. Oklahoma trailed 39-38 at halftime and allowed 48 points in the second half in the loss. The Sooners shot 52.9% from the field, 45.5% on three-pointers, and 90.9% on free throws in the game. Dayton Forsythe led Oklahoma with 25 points and three assists, while Duke Miles added 15 points and five assists in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Sooners lost to Kentucky by a score of 83-82 but did beat Mississippi State by a score of 93-87 before that. Oklahoma has lost seven of their last eight games and they are currently third to last in the SEC standings with a 4-12 record. Oklahoma has scored 78.1 points per game and they have allowed 74.3 points per game, while also averaging 32.3 rebounds and 13.7 assists per game this season. Jalon Moore is averaging 16.6 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 0.6 assists per game, while Jeremiah Fears is averaging 15.9 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 4.1 assists per game this year. Oklahoma is shooting 47.1% from the field, 79.1% on free throws, and 36.6% on three-pointers this season. 

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

The Missouri Tigers are 21-8 (10-6) this season after they lost to Vanderbilt in overtime by a score of 97-93 in their last game. Missouri led 38-29 at halftime, but they allowed 52 points in the second half and ended up losing in overtime. The Tigers shot 49.1% from the field, 40.9% on three-pointers, and 80% on free throws in the game. Caleb Grill led Missouri with 28 points and two rebounds, while Mark Mitchell added 20 points and seven rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Tigers defeated South Carolina by a score of 101-71 but did lose to Arkansas by a score of 92-85 before that. Missouri has won four of their last six games and they are currently fifth in the SEC standings with a 10-6 record. Missouri has scored 84.6 points per game and they have allowed 71.8 points per game, while also averaging 34.2 rebounds and 14.1 assists per game this season. Caleb Grill is averaging 14.3 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.1 assists per game, while Mark Mitchell is averaging 13.9 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 1.9 assists per game this year. Missouri is shooting 48.9% from the field, 72.6% on free throws, and 37.6% on three-pointers this season. 

Why Oklahoma will beat Missouri

• The home team has won each of Missouri’s last four games.
• Missouri has lost four of its last five night games after coming off overtime.

Why Missouri will beat Oklahoma

• Oklahoma has lost each of its last six night games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Missouri has won 11 of its last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Oklahoma has lost the first half in each of its last eight games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Forty-six of Oklahoma’s last 48 night games at Lloyd Noble Center have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.
• Each of Missouri’s last four games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 172+ points.

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Oklahoma vs Missouri Prediction 

Oklahoma comes into this matchup desperately needing a win to stay in the tournament bubble, and they will be at home for this game. The Sooners have lost seven of their last eight games, but their last two losses were by a combined four points. Missouri has lost two of their last three games, with both losses coming on the road. The Tigers have a very high-powered offense, but their defense has let them down recently, allowing 97 or more points in three of their last four games. Neither team has a defense that you can count on, so I do think we are going to see a higher-scoring game in this matchup. Take the over in this contest.