Old Dominion vs Middle Tennessee 3/5/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and the Old Dominion Monarchs meet in college basketball action from the Chartway Center on Saturday afternoon.

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will try to rebound from a 60-56 loss to Charlotte in their last game. Josh Jefferson leads Middle Tennessee with 14.7 PPG and Donovan Sims has 10.6 PPG with a team-high 2.7 APG to lead the Blue Raiders in assists while Eli Lawrence has 10.8 PPG with 4.3 RPG, rounding out the trio of double-digit scorers for MTSU so far this season. Deandre Dishman also has 8.6 PPG and a team-high 4.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Middle Tennessee is averaging 74.3 PPG on 44.9% shooting from the field, 32.9% shooting from three and 75.7% from the foul line while allowing 66.3 PPG on 42% shooting from the field and 30.9% from three this season.

The Old Dominion Monarchs will hope to bounce back after a 67-54 loss to Louisiana Tech in their last game. C.J. Keyser has 14 PPG while Kalu Ezikpe has 11.2 PPG with 7 RPG this season. Austin Trice has 13.3 PPG with a team-high 9 RPG to cap off Middle Tennessee’s group of double-digit scorers and Jaylin Hunter has 9.7 PPG with a team-high 4.2 APG to lead the Monarchs in assists this season. As a team, Old Dominion is averaging 66.5 PPG on 43.7% shooting from the field, 29.9% from three and 66.8% from the foul line while allowing 66.9 PPG on 41.5% shooting from the field and 33.9% from three this season.

Middle Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a losing record and 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Old Dominion is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record while the under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record.

I kind of get why Old Dominion’s favored here as the Blue Raiders simply haven’t been the same team on the road that they have been at home this season. However, that’s created some value here as we’re getting a team that’s covered the spread in 20 of 28 games this season (a 71.4% clip) with points. I know it’s the last game at home for ODU this season, but I’ll side with the Blue Raiders and the points.