College Basketball Picks

Ole Miss vs Florida Prediction 2/21/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Florida (20-6) vs. Ole Miss (11-15)
February 21, 2026 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ole Miss +13.5; Over/Under: 150.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Ole Miss vs Florida prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, February 21st at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion in Oxford, Mississippi. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels are 11-15 (3-10) this season after they lost to Texas A&M by a score of 80-77 in their last game. Ole Miss led 38-33 at halftime, but they allowed 47 points in the second half for the loss. The Rebels shot 53% from the field, 28% on three pointers, and 80% on free throws in the game. AJ Storr led Ole Miss with 21 points and three rebounds, while Malik Dia added 20 points and five rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Ole Miss lost to Mississippi State by a score of 90-78 and Alabama by a score of 93-74. The Rebels have scored 74.2 points per game with 34.4 rebounds and 13.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 73.9 points against per game this season. AJ Storr is averaging 14.8 points and 3.4 rebounds per game, while Malik Dia is averaging 13.5 points and 6.0 rebounds per game for the Rebels. Ole Miss is shooting 43.9% from the field, 73.9% on free throws, and 33.6% on three pointers this season. 

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators are 20-6 (11-2) this year after they defeated South Carolina by a score of 76-62 in their last game. Florida led 39-29 at halftime and they held SC to just 33 points in the second half in the win. The Gators shot 47% from the field, 26% on three pointers, and 72% on free throws in the game. Alex Condon led Florida with 20 points and 10 rebounds, while Rueben Chinyelu added 15 points and 17 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Florida defeated Kentucky by a score of 92-83 and Georgia by a score of 86-66. The Gators have scored 86.1 points per game with 46.0 rebounds and 16.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 71.1 points against per game this season. Thomas Haugh is averaging 17.2 points and 6.1 rebounds per game, while Alex Condon is averaging 13.6 points and 8.1 rebounds per game for the Gators. Florida is shooting 46.9% from the field, 70.4% on free throws, and 29.4% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

  • The home team has won each of the last 12 games between Florida and Ole Miss.
  • Florida has lost each of its last four games at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss.
  • The home team has won the first half in each of the last three games between Florida and Ole Miss.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • Ole Miss has lost each of its last 12 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Florida has won 16 of its last 17 February games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Ole Miss has lost the first half in each of its last eight day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Eight of Ole Miss’ last nine day games have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Six of Florida’s last seven day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Ole Miss ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.6).
  • Ole Miss ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.4%).
  • Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (46.0).
  • Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.5%).

Ole Miss vs Florida Prediction 

Ole Miss comes into this matchup trying to snap a lengthy losing streak and they are just 3-10 in SEC play. The Rebels are shooting 44% from the field and they have allowed 79 points or more in five straight. Florida is 11-2 in conference play and they have won six games in a row. The Gators are shooting 47% from the field and they have scored at least 86 points in four of their last five. Florida has won their last two road games by at least 19 points and I like them to cover once again here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Florida -13.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button