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Ole Miss vs LSU Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today

LSU (11-4) vs. Ole Miss (13-2)
January 11, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Ole Miss -8.5; Over/Under: 145.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The LSU Tigers and the Ole Miss Rebels meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Pavilion. Here’s an Ole Miss vs LSU prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ole Miss vs LSU pick.

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

This year the Tigers kicked off their season on a pretty impressive run, but they’ve also had some issues over the last two outings. LSU beat LA-Monroe, Alabama State, Kansas State and Charleston Southern in their first four outings consecutively before a loss to Pittsburgh. The Tigers would regain their form with wins over UCF, Northwestern State, Florida State and Florida Gulf Coast in the next four games before another loss to SMU. Another winning streak commenced after that as LSU took out Stetson, New Orleans and Mississippi Valley State. Since then it’s been consecutive losses, however. Those have come versus Vanderbilt and Missouri, giving LSU an 11-4 overall record so far this season.


In the Missouri matchup on Tuesday, the Tigers came out of the break looking up at a rough 42-27 deficit on the scoreboard. LSU got better in the second half (but still got outscored) on a 41-40 run in an eventual loss 83-67. Leading the team in scoring was Cam Carter with 16 points, three rebounds, three assists and two steals. Curtis Givens added 15 points with one rebound and one assist, while both Daimion Collins (five rebounds) and Dji Bailey (four assists; three rebounds; two steals) chipped in 11 points apiece. Corey Chest added seven points as well for LSU in the losing effort.

Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview

Over on the Ole Miss side, they have been a highly consistent team so far this year, with only a couple of blemishes on the card. The Rebels took out Long Island University, Grambling, South Alabama, Colorado State, Oral Roberts and BYU in their first six outings. Ole Miss’ first loss came on November 29 versus Purdue, then came another string of wins. Those victories came against Louisville, Lindenwood, Southern Miss, Southern and Queens. Ole Miss took their second loss of the season against Memphis on December 28, but bounced back with consecutive wins over Georgia and Arkansas in the next pair for a 13-2 overall run so far.

In the Arkansas game on Wednesday, the Rebels held a 33-33 tie by the break. Ole Miss got better from there on a 40-33 advantage and powered out the victory 73-66 in the end. Leading the team in scoring was Malik Dia with 21 points and eight boards. Sean Pedulla added 16 points with three assists in 35 minutes of work, and Dre Davis also finished in double-figures with 10 points, seven rebounds, one assist and one steal. Leading the bench scorers was Eduardo Klafke with five points and two rebounds.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

  • Ole Miss has won 21 of its last 22 games at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • LSU has lost seven of its last eight day games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • LSU has lost the first half in each of its last nine day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the LSU Tigers will win

  • Ole Miss has lost 14 of its last 16 day games against the Southeastern Conference.
  • LSU has won eight of its last 10 games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Ole Miss has lost the first half in four of its last five games against the Southeastern Conference.

Ole Miss vs LSU Prediction

I’ll lean toward Ole Miss I suppose, but this should be a pretty solid matchup overall. The Rebels looked pretty good in a road win over a solid Arkansas team in their last outing, hitting 46 percent shooting from the field and 36 rebounds alongside just five turnovers. The foul shooting wasn’t great though, as Ole Miss whiffed on 10 of their 28 free throws (64.3 percent). Still, it was a nice return to form on the scoreboard following a tepid 63 points in the win over Georgia.

As for LSU, they didn’t shoot horribly (42.6 percent) in the loss to Missouri, but they also got outmuscled on the boards 37-29 and had 14 turnovers for 20 Missouri points. The Tigers have given up a combined 163 points in their last two games but overall they’re scoring well on the other side. LSU has the capability to stay in range here, even during a tricky road matchup. That said, Ole Miss is the superior team and should be able to power out a cover if they play well. It’ll be a fun one to watch regardless of the outcome.

Andrew's Free Pick: Ole Miss Rebels -8.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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