Ole Miss vs North Carolina Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks Today
North Carolina (23-13) vs. Ole Miss (22-11)
March 21, 2025 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Ole Miss +2.5; Over/Under: 155.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Carolina Tar Heels and Ole Miss Rebels meet Friday in the college basketball First Round at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Ole Miss vs North Carolina Prediction. This article will include a Ole Miss vs North Carolina Pick.
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels recently played Notre Dame, Wake Forest, Duke, and San Diego State. North Carolina has won 10 of its last 13 games.
The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 81.7 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 76.1 points on 43.7 percent shooting. RJ Davis is averaging 17.3 points and 3.4 rebounds, while Ian Jackson is averaging 12.3 points and 2.8 rebounds. Seth Trimble is the third double-digit scorer and Elliot Cadeau is grabbing 2.9 rebounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 74 percent from the free throw line. The North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 34.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
The Ole Miss Rebels recently played Oklahoma, Tennessee, Florida, Arkansas, and Auburn. Ole Miss has seen five of its 11 losses come in its last eight games.
The Ole Miss Rebels are averaging 77.2 points on 44.2 percent shooting and allowing 71.8 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Sean Pedulla is averaging 14.9 points and 3.6 assists, while Jaemyn Brakefield is averaging 10.8 points and 4.4 rebounds. Matthew Murrell is the third double-digit scorer and Malik Dia is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Ole Miss Rebels are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 73.8 percent from the free throw line. The Ole Miss Rebels are allowing 32.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 29.6 rebounds per game.
Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win
- Ole Miss has won 24 of its last 26 games against non-Conference opponents.
- North Carolina has lost seven of its last eight games against the Southeastern Conference at neutral venues.
- North Carolina has lost the first half in eight of its last nine games against the Southeastern Conference at neutral venues.
Why the North Carolina Tar Heels will win
- North Carolina has won each of its last 10 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Ole Miss has lost six of its last eight day games.
- North Carolina has won the first half in each of its last 18 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Carolina’s last 10 games against the Southeastern Conference have produced a total of 157+ points.
- Five of Ole Miss’ last six games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ole Miss ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (8.8).
- Ole Miss ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (11.2%).
- North Carolina ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.1).
- North Carolina ranks T24th among Division 1 teams for points per game this season (81.7).
Ole Miss vs North Carolina Injury Report
Neither Ole Miss nor North Carolina have a player listed on its injury report.
Ole Miss vs North Carolina Prediction
The Ole Miss Rebels head into the tournament in shaky form, as five of their 11 losses have come in their last eight games. North Carolina has started to find its form over the last few weeks and was able to build on that after a blowout over SDSU in the First Four. North Carolina should be a confident bunch with the offense catching fire lately and that includes topping 90 points in five of its last 10 games. Ole Miss scores at an above-average clip due to pace, but the Rebels don’t shoot the ball great. If UNC keeps filling it up like it has lately, this should be a win for the Tar Heels. I’ll lay the bucket with North Carolina.
