Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction 3/11/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate an Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction for this SEC Tournament 1st Round matchup on Wednesday, March 11^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Texas Longhorns Preview

The Texas Longhorns have an 18-13 overall record and a 9-9 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off an 88-85 home win against Oklahoma and their previous three games were a 105-85 road loss against Arkansas, a 76-70 road loss against Texas A&M and an 84-71 home win against Florida.

Offensively, Texas averages 84.4 points per game, while allowing 76.8 points per game defensively. The Longhorns shoot with 49% from the field and grab 37.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12.3 assists per game. They average 2.8 blocks per game and 5.9 steals per game defensively.

Dylan Swain leads Texas in scoring, with an average of 17.7 points per game, while shooting with 55.4% from the field and 80.7% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 7.5 rebounds and a team-high 3.4 assists.

Ole Miss Rebels Preview

The Ole Miss Rebels have a 12-19 overall record and a 4-14 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off a 64-61 home win against South Carolina and their previous three games were an 89-86 home loss against Vanderbilt, an 85-79 road win against Auburn and a 106-99 home loss against LSU.

Offensively, Ole Miss averages 75.3 points per game, while allowing 75.9 points per game defensively. The Rebels shoot with 44% from the field and grab 34.1 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.9 assists per game. They average 4.2 blocks per game and 7 steals per game defensively.

AJ Storr leads Ole Miss in scoring, with an average of 15 points per game, while shooting with 43.9% from the field and 76.4% from the free throw line. Malik Dia is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game. Ilias Kamardine leads the team in assists with 3.8 per game.

Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: March 11, 2026

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

• Ole Miss has lost 12 of its last 13 games.
• Texas has won 11 of its last 14 night games after coming off overtime.
• Texas has won the first half in 29 of its last 31 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win

• Texas has lost each of its last four games after coming off overtime.
• Ole Miss has won the first half in each of its last four night games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Texas’ last 23 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 148+ points.
• Each of Ole Miss’ last seven night games have produced a total of 150+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (19.8).
• Texas ranks T7th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.4).
• Ole Miss ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.5%).
• Ole Miss ranks 33rd among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.8).

Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction

In this Ole Miss vs Texas Prediction, Texas is coming as -6 favorites. Texas has been the better team this season and have been much better against the spread, as Ole Miss is a terrible 10-20 ATS so far. Both teams have been struggling lately, as Texas is 1-4 in its last 5 games and 1-5 against the spread, while Ole Miss is 1-9 in its last 10 and 3-7 against the spread. Texas won their regular season meeting by 11 points and I simply cannot make a case for this struggling Ole Miss squad to keep it close given their recent form. Take Texas and lay the -6.