Oregon vs Liberty Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Liberty (28-6) vs. Oregon (24-9)
March 21, 2025 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: Oregon -6.5; Over/Under: 139.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Liberty Flames and Oregon Ducks meet Friday in the college basketball First Round at the Climate Pledge Arena. Here’s a Oregon vs Liberty Prediction. This article will include a Oregon vs Liberty Pick.
Liberty Flames Betting Preview
The Liberty Flames recently beat UTEP, Kennesaw State, and Jacksonville State. Liberty has won 11 of its last 12 games.
The Liberty Flames are averaging 76.6 points on 9.4 percent shooting and allowing 62.9 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Taelon Peter is averaging 13.9 points and 4.1 rebounds, while Kaden Metheny is averaging 3.5 points and 2.9 rebounds. Zach Cleveland is the third double-digit scorer and Isaiah Ihnen is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Liberty Flames are shooting 39 percent from beyond the arc and 66.1 percent from the free throw line. The Liberty Flames are allowing 28.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.2 rebounds per game.
Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
The Oregon Ducks just played Indiana, Washington, and Michigan State. Oregon has won eight of its last nine games and hasn’t lost two straight games since February 5-8.
The Oregon Ducks are averaging 76.2 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 71 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Nate Bittle is averaging 14.1 points and 7.4 rebounds, while Jackson Shelstad is averaging 13.2 points and 2.9 rebounds. TJ Bamba is the third double-digit scorer and Keeshawn Barthelemy is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Oregon Ducks are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 76.3 percent from the free throw line. The Oregon Ducks are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Oregon Ducks will win
- Oregon has won each of its last 11 games against non-Conference opponents.
- Oregon has won the first half in each of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Liberty Flames will win
- Liberty has won each of its last 10 night games.
- Oregon has lost four of its last five NCAA Tournament night games.
- Liberty has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of Oregon’s last 13 games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 141+ points.
- Each of Liberty’s last six games have produced a total of 141+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oregon ranks 42nd among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (76.3%).
- Liberty ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (27.6%).
- Liberty ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.3).
Oregon vs Liberty Injury Report
Liberty will continue to be without Isaiah Ihnen. Oregon will continue to be without Jamari Phillips, Andre Warren, and Dezdrick Lindsay.
Oregon vs Liberty Prediction
Oregon is the more balanced team, and it’s pretty much a home game out on the West Coast, so the Ducks are the rightful favorite. However, I like Liberty and the points, and I’ll even sprinkle the ML as well. Liberty is an experienced team and an elite offense that’s top-10 in offensive field goal percentage and three-point percentage. Liberty is also top-10 in scoring defense and third in three-point percentage defense.
Liberty finds easy offense and takes advantage of open shots. We’ve seen in past tournaments where teams get hot from the outside and the confidence flows through the building. It’s magic. Liberty has the ability to go on a run due to its elite shooting. Liberty is also 20-10-1 ATS on the season, for those who care. This is a dangerous matchup for the Ducks. Give me Liberty.
