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Oregon vs Michigan Prediction 1/17/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Michigan (15-1) vs. Oregon (8-9)
January 17, 2026 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Oregon +18.5; Over/Under: 157.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate an Oregon vs Michigan prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 17th at Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Oregon Ducks Betting Preview

The Oregon Ducks are 8-9 (1-5) this season after they lost to Nebraska by a score of 90-55 in their last game. Oregon trailed 42-30 at halftime and was outscored 48-25 in the second half for the ugly loss. The Ducks shot 42% from the field, 26% on three pointers, and 53% on free throws in the game. Wei Lin led Oregon with 14 points and two assists, while Takai Simpkins added 12 points and two rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Oregon lost to Ohio State by a score of 72-62 and Rutgers by a score of 88-85. The Ducks have scored 75.4 points per game with 38.0 rebounds and 15.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 74.2 points against per game this season. Nate Bittle is averaging 16.3 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, while Kwame Evans Jr is averaging 12.9 points and 7.5 rebounds per game for the Ducks. Oregon is shooting 43.2% from the field, 70.7% on free throws, and 33.5% on three pointers this season. 

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

The Michigan Wolverines are 15-1 (5-1) this year after they defeated Washington by a score of 82-72 in their last game. Michigan led 39-30 at halftime and added 43 points in the second half to get the win. The Wolverines shot 46% from the field, 22% on three pointers, and 76% on free throws in the game. Aday Mara led Michigan with 20 points and two rebounds, while Morez Johnson Jr added 16 points and 16 rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Michigan lost to Wisconsin by a score of 91-88, but did beat Penn State by a score of 74-72 before that. The Wolverines have scored 93.8 points per game with 43.2 rebounds and 20.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 68.7 points against per game this season. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 14.6 points and 6.9 rebounds per game, while Morez Johnson Jr is averaging 14.3 points and 7.1 rebounds per game for the Wolverines. Michigan is shooting 51.9% from the field, 72.8% on free throws, and 35.3% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

  • Oregon has won each of its last four games at Matthew Knight Arena when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Michigan has lost each of its last four January day games as a top-15 AP-ranked team.
  • Oregon has won the first half in each of its last four day games at Matthew Knight Arena.

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

  • Michigan has won each of its last eight road games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Oregon has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Michigan has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 day games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Oregon’s last seven day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.
  • Four of Michigan’s last five road games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.

Oregon vs Michigan Prediction 

Michigan comes into this matchup with a 15-1 record and they are ranked #4 in the country, but they have failed to cover in each of their last three games. The Wolverines are shooing 52% from the field and they have scored at least 82 points in four of their last five. Oregon has lost three straight games and they have scored 62 and 55 in their last two. The Ducks are really missing Shelstad, who is out with an injury, and I don’t think they have the offense to compete here. Take Michigan to cover on the road. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Michigan -18.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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