Oregon vs Oregon State 3/9/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The 12-seed Oregon State Beavers & 5-seed Oregon Ducks will square off at T-Mobile Arena this Wednesday night in the 1^st round of the Pac-12 Championship.

The Oregon State Beavers finished their regular season with an overall record of 3-27 and earned the 12-seed in the Pac-12 Championship after finishing conference play with a 1-19 record. Oregon State went just 2-8 in their non-conference portion of their schedule with their only wins coming against Portland State & Nicholls. Oregon State picked up a win against Utah early in conference play, however, the Beavers struggled the rest of way and come into this game on a 17-game losing streak.

On the season, Oregon State is averaging 68.2 ppg on 44.3% shooting from the field. The Beavers are averaging 5.7 three-pointers per game on 31.8% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Oregon State has been led by Jarod Lucas (13.2 ppg, 2.3 rpg, 1.2 apg), Dashawn Davis (11.0 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 5.5 apg, 1.4 spg), Warith Alatishe (9.3 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.1 spg), & Roman Silva (7.1 ppg, 4.7 rpg).

Defensively, Oregon State is allowing their opponents to average 77.9 ppg on 47.6% shooting from the field. The Beavers have a rebound margin of -5.8 and a turnover margin of -0.4.

The Oregon Ducks finished their regular season with an overall record of 18-13 and earned the 5-seed in the Pac-12 Championship after finishing conference play with a 11-9 record. Oregon finished their non-conference portion of their schedule with a 7-4 record with their top wins coming against SMU & Montana. Oregon played well at the beginning of PAC-12 play, winning 9 of their first 12 games with wins over UCLA & USC, however, the Ducks struggled down the stretch, losing 6 of their last 8 games.

On the season, Oregon is averaging 72.1 ppg on 45.2% shooting from the field. The Ducks are averaging 7.1 three-pointers per game on 33.4% shooting from beyond the arc. Offensively, Oregon has been led by Will Richardson (14.1 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 3.6 apg, 1.3 spg), Jacob Young (121.5 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.0 apg, 1.3 spg), De’Vion Harmon (10.9 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.3 spg), & Quincy Guerrier (9.5 ppg, 5.2 rpg). Oregon will be without Will Richardson who is out for the Pac-12 Tournament due to an illness.

Defensively, Oregon is allowing their opponents to average 69.1 ppg on 43.3% shooting from the field. The Ducks have a rebound margin of -0.0 and a turnover margin of 1.5.

The Beavers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games, however, are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. The Ducks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite & 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Oregon defeated Oregon State in both of their regular season matchups this season as the Ducks defeated the Beavers by a 78-76 margin on the road in early January while winning by a 78-56 margin at home in late January.

Oregon State has really struggled on both ends of the court this season, especially on the defensive end as they come into this game ranked just 335^th in scoring defense & 340^th in defensive FG%, however, the Beavers played better down the stretch which included OT losses to USC & Washington State. Oregon certainly has some quality wins this season, however, the Ducks have been inconsistent at times, espically down the stretch of the regular season and no doubt is going to miss the services of their leading scorer, Will Richardson. Oregon State has had a season to forget, however, the Beavers should come into this game with some confidence after their great run to the NCAA Tournament last season and as the line is still almost double digits (keep an eye on this as it might change with the news of Will Richardson not being available), I think the play here is to take the Beavers and the points. Good Luck!