Purdue vs Miami Prediction 3/22/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Miami (FL) (26-8) vs. Purdue (28-8)
March 22, 2026 12:10 pm EDT
The Line: Purdue -7.5; Over/Under: 147.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Hurricanes and Purdue Boilermakers meet Sunday in the college basketball NCAA Tournament at the Enterprise Center. Here’s a Purdue vs. Miami Prediction. This article will include a Purdue vs. Miami Pick.
Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview
The Miami Hurricanes beat Missouri and lost to Virginia. Miami has won 11 of its last 15 games.
The Miami Hurricanes are averaging 82.7 points on 50.6 percent shooting and allowing 70.7 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Malik Reneau is averaging 19 points and 6.6 rebounds, while Tre Donaldson is averaging 16.5 points and 3.6 rebounds. Shelton Henderson is the third double-digit scorer and Tru Washington is grabbing 4 rebounds. The Miami Hurricanes are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 68.1 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Hurricanes are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers beat Queens and Michigan. Purdue has won 11 of its last 15 games.
The Purdue Boilermakers are averaging 82.3 points on 50.1 percent shooting and allowing 70.7 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Braden Smith is averaging 14.3 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Trey Kaufman-Renn is averaging 14 points and 8.5 rebounds. Fletcher Loyer is the third double-digit scorer and Oscar Cluff is grabbing 7.5 rebounds. The Purdue Boilermakers are shooting 38.5 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free throw line. The Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 34.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- Miami (FL) has lost each of its last 10 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
- Purdue has won each of its last eight NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed.
- Purdue has won the first half in each of its last eight NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed.
Why the Miami Hurricanes will win
- Miami (FL) has won each of its last seven games against non-Conference opponents.
- Purdue has lost each of its last four day games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Miami (FL) has won the first half in six of its last seven day games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Purdue’s last four NCAA Tournament day games has produced a total of 138 or fewer points.
- Five of Miami (FL)’s last six games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (2.16).
- Purdue ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.5).
- Miami (FL) is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Miami (FL) ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.4).
Purdue vs Miami Prediction
It feels like Purdue is finally starting to play like the team we expected to see from the start of the season and at its best, this is a title contender. However, recent wins don’t make us forget the disappearing act we’ve seen from this team at times. Either way, Purdue is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games as a favorite and 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when favored by 5 or more points.
Miami has been getting disrespected by oddsmakers all year, but it’s covered 7 of its last 10 games and has the scoring punch to go toe-to-toe with Purdue. Since February, Miami is 5-1 ATS and 4-2 SU as an underdog. I’ll grab the points, as it feels like the Boilermakers are getting inflated love out of nowhere but I’m still a little skeptical.
