Purdue vs Michigan Prediction 2/17/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Michigan (24-1) vs. Purdue (21-4)
February 17, 2026 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: Purdue +2.5; Over/Under: 156.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Michigan Wolverines and Purdue Boilermakers meet Tuesday in college basketball action at the Mackey Arena. Here’s a Purdue vs Michigan Prediction. This article will include a Purdue vs Michigan Pick.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines beat Northwestern and UCLA, and they play Duke next. Michigan has won 10 straight games.
The Michigan Wolverines are averaging 90.6 points on 51.4 percent shooting and allowing 68.3 points on 37.1 percent shooting. Yaxel Lendeborg is averaging 14.4 points and 3.1 assists, while Morez Johnson Jr. is averaging 13.6 points and 7.2 rebounds. Aday Mara is the third double-digit scorer and Trey McKenney is grabbing 2.7 rebounds. The Michigan Wolverines are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 73.2 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan Wolverines are allowing 29.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.2 rebounds per game.
Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
The Purdue Boilermakers beat Nebraska and Iowa, and they play Indiana next. Purdue has won 10 of its last 13 games.
The Purdue Boilermakers are averaging 82.6 points on 50.2 percent shooting and allowing 68.6 points on 42.8 percent shooting. Braden Smith is averaging 14.7 points and 4 rebounds, while Fletcher Loyer is averaging 13.5 points and 2.2 rebounds. Trey Kaufman-Renn is the third double-digit scorer and Oscar Cluff is grabbing 7.4 rebounds. The Purdue Boilermakers are shooting 37.8 percent from beyond the arc and 73.9 percent from the free throw line. The Purdue Boilermakers are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Purdue Boilermakers will win
- Purdue has won each of its last 12 night games at Mackey Arena.
- Michigan has lost five of its last six games at Mackey Arena following a home win.
- Purdue has won the first half in 12 of its last 13 February home games as an AP-ranked team.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last 19 night games.
- Purdue has lost four of its last five games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team at Mackey Arena.
- Michigan has won the first half in seven of its last eight February games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Seventeen of Michigan’s last 18 night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
- Six of Purdue’s last seven night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Purdue ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (2.13).
- Purdue ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (19.8).
- Michigan is one of only two teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Michigan ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+22.3).
Purdue vs Michigan Prediction
Michigan is getting love again after 10 straight wins. Purdue has also been shaky recently with that 3-game losing streak and almost blowing it against Oregon. Michigan is in better form and is undefeated on the road. With that said, Purdue is still one of the most talented teams in the country and can beat anybody in the country when right. Maybe road wins over Nebraska and Iowa right the ship for this group.
Also, this is the first time Purdue is a home dog since November 2024. You don’t get this chance often. Purdue has outright won 4 of its last 6 home games as an underdog, which goes back to December 2014. Again, Purdue has almost never been a home dog over the last decade. I want the free bucket.
