Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Gonzaga (23-8) vs. St. Mary's (28-4)
March 11, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: St. Mary's +3.5; Over/Under: 137.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Gonzaga Bulldogs and Saint Mary’s Gaels meet Tuesday in the college basketball WCC Final at the Orleans Arena. Here’s a Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction. This article will include a Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Pick.
Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Gonzaga Bulldogs recently played Saint Mary’s, Santa Clara, and San Francisco. Gonzaga has won 10 of its last 12 games.
The Gonzaga Bulldogs are averaging 87.6 points on 50.4 percent shooting and allowing 70 points on 41.4 percent shooting. Graham Ike is averaging 17 points and 1.4 assists, while Khalif Battle is averaging 12.9 points and 3.5 rebounds. Nolan Hickman is the third double-digit scorer and Ryan Nembhard is grabbing 3.1 rebounds. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are shooting 35.3 percent from beyond the arc and 80.3 percent from the free throw line. The Gonzaga Bulldogs are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.3 rebounds per game.
Saint Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview
The Saint Mary’s Gaels are coming off wins over Gonzaga, Loyola Marymount, Oregon State, and Pepperdine. Saint Mary’s has won eight straight games and has lost just once since Christmas.
The Saint Mary’s Gaels are averaging 74.3 points on 45.6 percent shooting and allowing 60.8 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Augustas Marciulionis is averaging 14.4 points and 6.1 assists, while Paulius Murauskas is averaging 12.8 points and 8.1 rebounds. Mitchell Saxen is the third double-digit scorer and Luke Barrett is dishing 1.3 assists. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 69.8 percent from the free throw line. The Saint Mary’s Gaels are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won 20 of its last 21 games against the West Coast Conference.
- Gonzaga has lost six of its last seven night games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 18 night games against the West Coast Conference.
Why the Gonzaga Bulldogs will win
- Gonzaga has won 28 of its last 30 games at Orleans Arena.
- Saint Mary’s has lost eight of its last 10 Conference Tournament games against Gonzaga at Orleans Arena.
- Gonzaga has won the first half in 30 of its last 37 night games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Gonzaga’s last eight games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 139+ points.
- Each of the last five night games between Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Saint Mary’s ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.4%).
- Saint Mary’s ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (5.5).
- Gonzaga ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (19.9).
- Gonzaga ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (2.05).
Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Injury Report
Saint Mary’s doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Gonzaga will be without Steele Venters due to an Achilles injury.
Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction
It feels like Gonzaga is getting love from oddsmakers because of reputation, and I get it. However, this has been a down year for Gonzaga, and it was in a hairy situation last night against San Francisco. This Gonzaga team isn’t scaring anybody. Saint Mary’s won both games against Gonzaga this season, and that includes a seven-point win on the road a couple of weeks ago. Saint Mary’s is simply playing the better ball right now, which includes eight straight wins. Saint Mary’s has lost one game since Christmas. We’re getting free points with the better team. I’ll grab the points while also snagging the ML with Saint Mary’s.
