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San Diego State vs Air Force Prediction 12/17/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Air Force (3-8) vs. San Diego State (5-3)
December 17, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State -23.5; Over/Under: 137.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Air Force Falcons and the San Diego State Aztecs meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Viejas Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Air Force Falcons vs. San Diego State Aztecs prediction.

Air Force Falcons Recap

The Air Force Falcons come into this game looking to bounce back from a 61-56 loss at the hands of Navy last time out to sit at 3-8 this season. After this game, Air Force will head home for a game against Wyoming.

Falcons Lose 4 In A Row

Caleb Walker leads the Falcons in scoring with 12.7 PPG along with 5.1 RPG while Lucas Hobin has 12.7 PPG with 2.5 RPG and Kam Sanders has 12.3 PPG with 4.2 RPG and a team-high 3.5 APG to lead the Falcons in the assist department so far this season. Eli Robinson has 10.2 PPG with a team-high 6.3 RPG to lead the Falcons in rebounding along with 2.6 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Air Force so far this season. As a team, Air Force is averaging 66.2 PPG on 44.8% shooting from the field 31.5% from three and 63.7% from the foul line this season. 

Why the Air Force Falcons will win

  • The road team has won three of the last four games between Air Force and San Diego State.

San Diego State Aztecs Recap

The San Diego State Aztecs come into this game looking to add on to their 89-71 win over Lamar last time out to sit at 5-3 this season. After this game, San Diego State will have a road game against Arizona.

Aztecs Win Back-To-Back Games

BJ Davis leads the Aztecs in scoring with 12.6 PPG along with 2.8 RPG while Reese Dixon-Waters has 12.3 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2 APG as well this season. Miles Byrd has 10.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.8 APG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for San Diego State so far this season. Magoon Gwath has 9.5 PPG with 4.7 RPG and Elzie Harrington also has 8.9 PPG with 2.3 APG. Miles Heide has a team-high 5.4 RPG to lead the Aztecs in rebounding and Sean Newman Jr. has a team-high 2.9 APG to lead San Diego State in assists. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 81.9 PPG on 47.7% shooting from the field, 40.5% from three and 76.1% from the foul line this season.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

  • Air Force has lost each of its last 17 night games against Conference opponents.
  • San Diego State has won each of its last 12 night games against Air Force.

Total Points Facts

  • Thirteen of San Diego State’s last 14 night games have produced a total of 138+ points.
  • Each of Air Force’s last six night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.

Air Force Falcons vs. San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

I’m on the under in this game. I just don’t trust Air Force offensively against this consistent San Diego State defense, but I also think that San Diego State has bigger fish to fry with a game against Arizona on deck. I think this one cashes the under. Give me the under in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 137.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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