San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction 3/13/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Boise State (22-9) vs. San Diego State (21-8)
March 13, 2025 5:30 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State +1.5; Over/Under: 134.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boise State Broncos and San Diego State Aztecs meet Thursday in the college basketball MWC Quarterfinal at the Thomas & Mack Center. Here’s a San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction. This article will include a San Diego State vs Boise State Pick.
Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
The Boise State Broncos recently played Fresno State, Air Force, and Colorado State. Boise State hasn’t lost two straight games since January 17-22.
The Boise State Broncos are averaging 76 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 66.3 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Tyson Degenhart is averaging 17.8 points and 1.5 assists, while Andrew Meadow is averaging 12.6 points and 4.4 rebounds. Alvaro Cardenas is the third double-digit scorer and Javan Buchanan is grabbing 3.8 rebounds. The Boise State Broncos are shooting 31.5 percent from beyond the arc and 77.7 percent from the free throw line. The Boise State Broncos are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
The San Diego State Aztecs recently played Wyoming, UNLV, and Nevada. San Diego State has won 10 of its last 13 games.
The San Diego State Aztecs are averaging 71.6 points on 44.6 percent shooting and allowing 63.7 points on 37.9 percent shooting. Nick Boyd is averaging 13.2 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Miles Byrd is averaging 12.8 points and 4.5 rebounds. BJ Davis is grabbing 3 rebounds and Magoon Gwath is dishing 0.7 assists. The San Diego State Aztecs are shooting 33.5 percent from beyond the arc and 66.8 percent from the free throw line. The San Diego State Aztecs are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won each of its last eight Thursday games against the Mountain West Conference.
- Boise State has lost each of its last six Thursday games played at neutral venues.
- Boise State has lost the first half in each of its last six Thursday games played at neutral venues.
Why the Boise State Broncos will win
- Boise State has won 12 of its last 14 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has lost three of its last four games at Thomas & Mack Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has lost the first half in each of its last four Conference Tournament games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of San Diego State’s last six games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 138+ points.
- Eleven of Boise State’s last 12 day games have produced a total of 136+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- San Diego State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (37.9%).
- San Diego State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.9).
- Boise State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (28.5).
- Boise State ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (56.0%).
San Diego State vs Boise State Injury Report
San Diego State is without Reese Waters due to a foot injury. Boise State will be without Dominic Parolin due to a redshirt.
San Diego State vs Boise State Prediction
It’s not easy to beat the same team three times in a season, but that’s what’s expected of San Diego State in this spot. San Diego State beat Boise State in January on the road as a 4.5-point underdog and then smoked the Broncos in February at home, 64-47.
San Diego State is one of the best defensive teams in the country, as it’s top-20 in scoring defense, third I field goal percentage and top-30 in three-point percentage. It’s not going to get any easier when San Diego State has had time to prepare and put together an in-depth game plan. It’s the not standout in this matchup, and Boise State’s recent home loss to Colorado State rubs me the wrong way. I’ll grab the bucket with SDSU.
