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San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction 2/18/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Fresno State (5-21) vs. San Diego State (17-6)
February 18, 2025 11:00 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State -18.5; Over/Under: 141.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a San Diego State vs Fresno State prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 18th at Viejas Arena in San Diego, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview

The San Diego Aztecs are 17-6 (10-4) this year after they defeated Boise State by a score of 64-47 in their last game. San Diego State led 28-18 at halftime and added 36 points in the second half to pull away with the win. The Aztecs shot 54.2% from the field, 41.7% on three-pointers, and 63.6% on free throws in the game. Nick Boyd led San Diego State with 24 points and six rebounds, while Miles Byrd added 10 points and four rebounds in the win. 


Prior to that game, the Aztecs defeated San Jose State by a score of 69-66 but did lose to Colorado State by a score of 68-63 before that. San Diego State has won six of their last seven games and they are currently tied for third in the Mountain West standings with a 10-4 record. San Diego State has scored 70.8 points per game and they have allowed 62.6 points per game, while also averaging 36.9 rebounds and 12.4 assists per game this season. Miles Byrd is averaging 13.1 points, 4.3 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game, while Nick Boyd is averaging 12.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game this year. San Diego State is shooting 43.6% from the field, 68.1% on free throws, and 33.4% on three-pointers this season. 

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 5-21 (1-14) this season after they lost to UNLV by a score of 52-51 in their last game. Fresno State trailed 26-18 at halftime, but they outscored UNLV by a total of 33-26 in the second half in the loss. The Bulldogs shot 30.4% from the field, 30% on three-pointers, and 68.8% on free throws in the game. Elijah Price led Fresno State with 15 points and 12 rebounds, while Brian Amuneke added nine points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Bulldogs lost to Nevada by a score of 94-69 and Utah State by a score of 89-81. Fresno State has lost eight games in a row and they are currently second to last in the Mountain West standings with a 1-14 record. Fresno State has scored 72 points per game and they have allowed 81.7 points per game, while also averaging 34.7 rebounds and 11.5 assists per game this season. Jalen Weaver is averaging 12.3 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 1.4 assists per game, while Zaon Collins is averaging 12.3 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 4.7 assists per game this year. Fresno State is shooting 40.5% from the field, 69.3% on free throws, and 31.8% on three-pointers this season. 

Why San Diego State will beat Fresno State

  • San Diego State has won each of its last 11 games against Fresno State.
  • Fresno State has lost each of its last eight games.
  • Fresno State has lost the first half in each of its last eight games against the Mountain West Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Twelve of Fresno State’s last 13 night games have produced a total of 146+ points.
  • Each of San Diego State’s last six games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 139 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (36.9%).
  • San Diego State ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (20.4).
  • Fresno State ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (41.7).
  • Fresno State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (30.7).

San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction 

Fresno State comes into this matchup as one of the worst teams in the Mountain West this season and they have lost eight games in a row. The Bulldogs have had a couple of close calls in recent games, but they have lost by margins of 25, 22, 11, 28, and 27 points in their last five road games. San Diego State did win the first meeting between these teams by a score of 84-62 and they are only allowing 62.6 points against per game this season. San Diego State is the way better team in this contest and Fresno State has been miserable on the road. Take the Aztecs here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: San Diego State -18.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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