San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction 2/25/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction for this college basketball game on Tuesday,  February 25th, at the Viejas Arena. Let’s take a look at San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos pick. 

On January 11th, it was New Mexico that was able to secure the 62-48 victory. 

Can New Mexico Bounce Back?

Most nights have felt like a battle for New Mexico during conference play, and they know they are in for a battle in a game they really need to win. Heading into the last game, New Mexico won eight games in a row. Last Wednesday, they faced off against Boise State, and the defense didn’t make the necessary stops. At halftime, New Mexico was down 42-93, and in the second half, they gave up 44 points on the way to the loss. It’s hard to win games when you allow teams to shoot 48.1 percent from the field and 41.7 percent from behind the three-point line. Filip Borovicanin had a strong game, putting up 18 points while hitting 7 of his 9 shots from the field. 

New Mexico has a 22-5 record overall while going 13-13 against the spread. New Mexico wants to push the pace and averages 83 points per game. They have leaned on just being able to outscore their opponents, but the last game proved they at least need to try to play a little defense. Donovan Dent has been the top player, averaging 19.6 points, shooting 49 percent from the field and 36.7 percent from behind the three-point line. Mustapha Amzil is dealing with a shoulder injury and is questionable for this game. 

Statement for San Diego State?

This San Diego State team isn’t as talented as the last couple of years, but they could make a big statement with some success in this game. Two games ago against Fresno State, they won 83-60, but in the last game against Utah State, the defense gave up 79 points and lost by eight points. San Diego State shot 33.3 percent from deep, while Utah State shot over 40 percent behind the three-point line. Nick Boyd was the top offensive player, putting up 15 points while hitting 2 of his 5 shots from deep. 

San Diego State has an 18-7 record, but they have only gone 10-14 against the spread. The offense for this team has been up and down, but it has been the strength for most of the season. They are giving up only 63.1 points per game, which is 13th in the league. Against a very good offensive team, the defense is going to need to step up and try not to let this turn into a shootout. Boyd has been the top player for San Diego State, averaging 12.8 points while shooting 40.6 percent from the field. 

Why San Diego State Will Beat New Mexico

• San Diego State has won each of its last nine night games at Viejas Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• New Mexico has lost eight of its last 10 games at Viejas Arena.
• New Mexico has lost the first half in five of its last six night games at Viejas Arena.

San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction

These two teams already faced off once this year, which gives us a great indication of how this game goes. San Diego State is averaging 71.3 points per game, but their pace isn’t going to get them close to this number. This Aztecs’ defense is elite, and they already proved that in the first game, giving up only 62 points. New Mexico will have all kinds of issues getting their offense going. This game will be a little higher than the first matchup, but neither team will reach the 70-point mark here. Look for this game to finish around the 130 mark, which gives a little extra wiggle room. Back the under.