San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction 2/28/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

New Mexico Lobos Preview

The New Mexico Lobos have a 21-7 overall record and a 12-5 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off a 67-60 road loss against Nevada and their previous three games were an 80-78 road win against Fresno State, a 98-61 home win against Air Force and a 70-64 road win against Grand Canyon.

Offensively, New Mexico averages 80.6 points per game, while allowing 69.4 points per game defensively. The Lobos shoot with 46% from the field and grab 36.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.7 assists per game. They average 3 blocks per game and 7.8 steals per game defensively.

Jake Hall leads New Mexico in scoring, with an average of 16 points per game, while shooting with 49% from the field and 77.5% from the free throw line. Tomislav Buljan is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.8 per game. Deyton Albury leads the team in assists with 3.2 per game.

San Diego State Aztecs Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs have a 19-8 overall record and a 13-4 record in the Mountain West conference. They are coming off an 89-72 home win against Utah State and their previous three games were an 83-74 road loss against Colorado State, a 73-63 home loss against Grand Canyon and a 71-57 home win against Nevada.

Offensively, San Diego State averages 79.3 points per game, while allowing 70.1 points per game defensively. The Aztecs shoot with 48% from the field and grab 35.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.4 assists per game. They average 4.5 blocks per game and 8.1 steals per game defensively.

Reese Dixon-Waters leads San Diego State in scoring, with an average of 12.9 points per game, while shooting with 42.4% from the field and 88.9% from the free throw line. Miles Heide is the team’s leading rebounder with 4.7 per game. Taj DeGourville leads the team in assists with 2.9 per game.

San Diego State Aztecs @ New Mexico Lobos Betting Trends: February 28, 2026

Why the New Mexico Lobos will win

• New Mexico has won 14 of its last 15 day games.
• San Diego State has lost three of its last four games following a home win.
• The home team has won the first half in each of San Diego State’s last four games.

Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win

• San Diego State has won 16 of its last 20 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• San Diego State has won the first half in 17 of its last 20 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of New Mexico’s last six home games have produced a total of 151+ points.
• Twenty-nine of San Diego State’s last 35 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 148 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• New Mexico ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (29.3%).
• New Mexico ranks 31st among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+11.2).
• San Diego State ranks T9th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
• San Diego State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.1).

San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction

In this San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction, New Mexico is coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have similar overall records this season both straight up and against the spread and both have been mediocre lately, as New Mexico is 3-3 in its last 6 and San Diego State has lost two of its last three. Both teams play good offense this season averaging 159.9 points per game combined and are 4-1 to the over in their last 5 games combined. Their previous meeting this season also went over the total, so I expect another high-scoring affair. Take the over 149.5 points.