San Diego State vs Troy 12/5/22 College Basketball Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Troy Trojans and the San Diego State Aztecs meet in college basketball action from Viejas Arena on Monday night.

The Troy Trojans will look to rebound from back-to-back losses after a 78-72 loss to SIU-Edwardsville last time out. Duke Miles leads the Trojans in scoring with 14 PPG while Nelson Phillips has 13.9 PPG with a team-high 6.3 RPG to lead the Trojans on the glass. Christyon Eugene has 11.9 PPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Troy up to this point in the season. Zay Williams has 9.4 PPG and 5.7 RPG while Aamer Muhammad has 9.1 PPG and a team-high 3.3 APG to lead the Trojans in the assist department. As a team, Troy is averaging 81.7 PPG on 46.9% shooting from the field, 36.6% from three and 68% from the foul line this season.

The San Diego State Aztecs will look to build on their 95-57 win over subdivision Occidental last time out. Darrion Trammell leads the Aztecs in scoring and assists with 13.1 PPG and 3.4 APG up to this point in the year while Matt Bradley has 11.3 PPG and 4.3 RPG as San Diego State’s only other double-digit scorer so far this season. Nathan Mensah also has a team-high 5.8 RPG as well this season to lead the Aztecs on the glass. As a team, San Diego State is averaging 79.4 PPG on 46.8% shooting from the field, 35.5% from three and 72.2% from the foul line this season.

Troy is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600 while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 road games. San Diego State is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall while the over is 10-1 in their last 11 home games.

I get the case to be made for San Diego State laying this number at home, but the problem is that as good as San Diego State is, the physical defensive style they play can sometimes make it hard to cover the bigger numbers, as evidenced by their 0-3 ATS mark as double-digit favorites this season. Troy doesn’t have the same efficiency numbers as the Aztecs, but they hit the boards hard and can definitely shoot well enough to keep themselves within range here. Give me San Diego State and the points here.