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San Diego State vs Yale Prediction 3-24-24 College Basketball Picks

Yale Bulldogs (23-9) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (25-10)
March 24, 2024 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: San Diego State Aztecs -5.5; Over/Under: +129.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a San Diego State vs Yale betting prediction for this NCAA Tournament college basketball game on Sunday, March 24th at Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena in Spokane, Washington. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The San Diego State recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Yale recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving San Diego State
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Yale
  • Recent betting trends in games played between San Diego State and Yale
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between San Diego State and Yale

San Diego State Preview

The San Diego State Aztecs are 25-10 (11-7) this year after they defeated UAB by a score of 69-65 in the first round. San Diego State led 35-29 at the half, but they were out scored 36-34 in the second half. The Aztecs shot 43.6% from the field and were +2 in rebounding margin in the game. San Diego State lost to New Mexico in the Mountain West Tournament, but they did beat Utah State and UNLV before that. The Aztecs are scoring 74.4 points per game with 38 rebounds per game and 13 assists per game, while allowing 66.5 points against per game this year. Jaedon LeDee is averaging 21.4 points per game, 8.4 rebounds per game, and 1.3 assists per game. San Diego State is shooting 44% from the field, 73.3% on free throws, and 31.3% on three pointers this season. 

Yale Preview

The Yale Bulldogs 23-9 (11-3) this season after they defeated Auburn by a score of 78-76 in their last game. Yale trailed 41-34 at the half, but they scored 44 points in the second half for the win. The Bulldogs shot 46.2% from the field and made 21 free throws in the game. Yale has won six of their last seven games, with the lone loss coming against Brown. The Bulldogs are scoring 75.3 points per game with 36.8 rebounds per game and 15.1 assists per game, while giving up 66.9 points against per game this season. Danny Wolf is averaging 14.3 points per game, 9.7 rebounds per game, and 2.3 assists per game. Yale is shooting 47% from the field, 70.9% on free throws, and 34.7% on three pointers this year. 

San Diego State Aztecs Team Facts

  • San Diego State has won each of its last nine Sunday games.
  • Each of San Diego State’s last 10 NCAA Tournament night games have produced a total of 132+ points.
  • San Diego State has won the first half in each of its last five games against non-Conference opponents.

Yale Bulldogs Team Facts

  • Yale has lost 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Sixteen of Yale’s last 17 night games have produced a total of 131+ points.
  • Yale has lost the first half in 10 of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • San Diego State ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.6%).
  • San Diego State ranks 24th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.6%).
  • Yale ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for turnovers per game this season (9.5).
  • Yale ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.3%).

San Diego State vs Yale Betting Prediction

Yale trailed by double digits in the second half against Auburn, but they were able to comeback and hang on for the win, despite allowing Auburn to have multiple chances to tie or win the game late. The Bulldogs also erased a big second half deficit against Brown in the Ivy League Championship, so you can never count them out. San Diego State nearly allowed a decent lead to slip away against UAB in their first round game, but they are very solid on both ends of the court. Both teams are allowing about 66 points against per game on defense, so we could see a lower scoring game here. Despite their upset win, I don’t love this Yale team. I think they were very fortunate that Auburn had one of their key players ejected early and missed quite a few free throws down the stretch. San Diego State has the experience from their deep run last season and I like them to pull away in the second half here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: San Diego State -5.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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