South Florida vs Memphis Prediction 3/5/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a South Florida vs Memphis Prediction for college basketball matchup on Thursday, March 5^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Memphis Tigers Preview

The Memphis Tigers have a 12-17 overall record and a 7-9 record in the American conference. They are coming off an 84-68 road loss against East Carolina and their previous three games were an 88-82 home loss against Wichita State, a 78-67 home loss against UAB and an 87-66 road loss against South Florida.

Offensively, Memphis averages 74.2 points per game, while allowing 75.2 points per game defensively. The Tigers shoot with 43% from the field and grab 36.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 13.2 assists per game. They average 4.1 blocks per game and 8.8 steals per game defensively.

Dug McDaniel leads Memphis in scoring, with an average of 13.4 points per game, while shooting with 40.5% from the field and 85.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.6 assists. Julius Thedford is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.2 per game.

South Florida Bulls Preview

The South Florida Bulls have a 21-8 overall record and a 13-3 record in the American conference. They are coming off a 90-62 home win against Tulane and their previous three games were a 75-56 road win against Rice, an 87-66 home win against Memphis and an 83-81 road win against Florida Atlantic.

Offensively, South Florida averages 88.3 points per game, while allowing 76.7 points per game defensively. The Bulls shoot with 44% from the field and grab 42.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.1 assists per game. They average 4.3 blocks per game and 9.1 steals per game defensively.

Izaiyah Nelson leads South Florida in scoring, with an average of 16.2 points per game, while shooting with 56.8% from the field and 71.5% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 10 rebounds. CJ Brown leads the team in assists with 5 per game.

South Florida Bulls @ Memphis Tigers Betting Trends: March 5, 2026

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

• Memphis has won 13 of its last 14 night games at FedExForum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• South Florida has lost three of its last four games at FedExForum.
• The home team has won the first half in five of South Florida’s last six games.

Why the South Florida Bulls will win

• South Florida has won each of its last seven games.
• Memphis has lost each of its last six games.
• Memphis has lost the first half in each of its last six games.

South Florida vs Memphis Prediction

In this South Florida vs Memphis Prediction, South Florida is coming as -6.5 road favorites. South Florida has been the better team this season and better against the spread and have been red-hot lately with a 9-1 record in their last 10 games and 7-3 against the spread. On the flip side, Memphis looks like it has given up on the season as they have lost and failed to cover six straight games. South Florida also destroyed Memphis in their previous meeting this season by 21 points and I expect them to get the job done and cover the spread on the road as well.