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St. John’s vs Butler Prediction 3/13/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Butler (14-18) vs. St. John's (27-4)
March 13, 2025 12:00 pm EDT
The Line: St. John's -12.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

The Butler Bulldogs and the St. John’s Red Storm meet Thursday in Big East Tournament college basketball action from Madison Square Garden. Here’s a St. John’s vs Butler prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best St. John’s vs Butler pick.

Butler Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Bulldogs have had a couple of nice runs this year, but overall it’s been a pretty spotty season. Butler lost to only Austin Peay in their first eight games, then hit the skids versus Houston, North Dakota State, Wisconsin, Marquette, UConn, Villanova, St. John’s, Providence and Creighton. A 5-3 run with wins over Seton Hall, DePaul, Seton Hall again, Providence and Georgetown (with losses to UConn, Marquette and Georgetown) came next, then a 1-5 run with a lone win over DePaul. The losses otherwise in that stretch were versus Xavier, St. John’s, Villanova, Xavier and Creighton in succession. That would give the Bulldogs a 13-18 overall record through the 31 games of the regular season.


In their matchup with Providence on Wednesday, the Bulldogs were up 39-31 going into the second half. Butler hit another 36 points from there on the way to a 75-69 win. Leading the team in scoring was Pierre Brooks with his 25 points, seven boards, two assists and two steals. Jahmyl Telfort added 16 points with three steals, two rebounds and two assists also.

St. John’s Red Storm Betting Preview

Over on the St. John’s side, they’ve been a highly consistent team so far this year, with just a few scattered losses here and there. The Red Storm did lose two of their first seven games versus Baylor and Georgia, then came back with wins over Harvard, Kansas State, DePaul, Providence and Delaware before another loss to Creighton. Since then St. John’s has just one loss in the books. That one came February 12 versus Villanova. Otherwise it’s been wins over Butler, Xavier, Villanova, Georgetown, Seton Hall, Xavier, Georgetown, Providence, Marquette, UConn, Creighton, DePaul, UConn, Butler, Seton Hall and Marquette. In total that gives the Red Storm a nice 27-4 overall record this year.

In their latest win over Marquette, St. John’s posted a 36-35 advantage in the first half but eventually needed overtime to power out the tight win 86-84. Tops in scoring was RJ Luis with 28 points, 11 rebounds and 39 minutes of action. Also doubling up in the win was Zuby Ejiofor (17 points; 12 rebounds), while Kadary Richmond notched a triple-double on 10 points, 11 assists and 12 rebounds alongside four steals. Simeon Wilcher chipped in 13 points with three assists and two rebounds in 41 minutes on the court as well.

Why the St. John’s Red Storm will win

  • St. John’s has won each of its last 17 home games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Butler has lost each of its last 10 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • St. John’s has won the first half in each of its last 13 day games at Madison Square Garden.

Why the Butler Bulldogs will win

  • Butler has won the first half in six of its last seven day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • St. John’s ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (65.3).
  • St. John’s ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.8).
  • Butler ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent assist to turnover ratio this season (1.81).
  • Butler ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (7.5).

St. John’s vs Butler Prediction

I’ll lean toward St. John’s, but it’s something of a hefty line. The Red Storm posted a great road victory in overtime versus a strong Marquette team during their last outing. St. John’s shot pretty well from the field in that one (44.6 percent) and had a 46-42 rebounding advantage. The Storm weren’t so great from 3-point range though (21.7 percent on 5-of-23) and had 12 turnovers for 16 Eagles points on the other side. The victory gives St. John’s a nice six-game win streak, and they’ve won 16 of their last 17 games overall. The Storm have hit 71 or more points in seven straight games as well.

These teams have met twice so far this year, with the Storm taking wins both times. First was a 70-62 home victory on January 4, then a 76-70 road win on February 26. In that most recent game, the Storm shot a nice 49.2 percent from the field with just nine turnovers, but did get beaten on the boards 39-32. Butler, meanwhile, shot just 39.3 percent from the field with 13 turnovers for 17 Red Storm points. St. John’s won’t be able to rely on mistakes so much this time, but I think they’re still in a good spot. That said, the line seems thick enough to take Butler on a hunch as well. 

Andrew's Free Pick: St. John's Red Storm -12.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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