St. Mary’s vs Gonzaga Prediction 2/28/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Gonzaga (28-2) vs. St. Mary's (26-4)
February 28, 2026 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: St. Mary's +2.5; Over/Under: 144.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Gonzaga Bulldogs and the Saint Mary’s Gaels meet Saturday in college basketball action from the University Credit Union Pavilion. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels prediction.
Gonzaga Bulldogs Recap
The Gonzaga Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 89-48 win over Portland last time out to sit at 27-2 this season.
Bulldogs Win 5 Straight
Graham Ike leads the Bulldogs in scoring and rebounding with 19.8 PPG and 8.4 RPG along with 2.5 APG while Braden Huff has 17.8 PPG with 5.6 RPG. Tyon Grant-Foster has 11.1 PPG with 5.1 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Gonzaga so far this season. Mario Saint-Supery has 8.7 PPG with 3.7 RPG and Davis Fogle has 8.2 PPG while Braeden Smith has 3.9 APG to lead the Bulldogs in assists so far this season. As a team, Gonzaga is averaging 86.9 PPG on 51.4% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three and 69.7% from the foul line this season.
Why the Gonzaga Bulldogs will win
- Gonzaga has won 48 of its last 49 February games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
- Saint Mary’s has lost 13 of its last 14 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Saint Mary’s Gaels Recap
The Saint Mary’s Gaels come into this game looking to add on to their 86-67 win over Santa Clara last time out to sit at 26-4 this season.
Gaels Win 7 Straight
Paulius Murauskas leads the Gaels in scoring with 18.9 PPG along with 7.7 RPG while Mikey Lewis has 13.4 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 2.1 APG this season. Joshua Dent has 13.3 PPG with 2.6 RPG and a team-high 5.8 APG to lead the Gaels in assists and to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Saint Mary’s so far this season while Andrew McKeever has 8.5 PPG with a team-high 9.2 RPG to lead Saint Mary’s in rebounding. Dillan Shaw also has 7.9 PPG and 5.1 RPG as well this season. As a team, Saint Mary’s is averaging 78.7 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 38.6% from three and 80.4% from the foul line this season.
Why the Saint Mary’s Gaels will win
- Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 28 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
- Gonzaga has lost three of its last four games at University Credit Union Pavilion.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last eight games between Gonzaga and Saint Mary’s have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
- Seven of Gonzaga’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents at University Credit Union Pavilion have produced a total of 137 or fewer points.
Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Saint Mary’s Gaels Prediction
I’m on Saint Mary’s here. I know it’s a rivalry for Gonzaga and they’ll take it seriously here, but these two teams almost always split the regular season meetings and this game means a lot more for Saint Mary’s in terms of positioning as Gonzaga has the #1 seed in the conference tournament locked up and the Gaels are trying to hold on to the bye all the way to the semifinals. I think Saint Mary’s closes out the regular season with the rivalry win at home so give me the Gaels here.
