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St. Mary’s vs Oregon State Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Oregon State (20-10) vs. St. Mary's (26-4)
March 1, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: St. Mary's -11.5; Over/Under: 131.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The St. Mary’s Gaels and Oregon State Beavers meet on Saturday in college basketball action at University Credit Union Pavilion. Here’s a St. Mary’s vs Oregon State Prediction. This article will include a St. Mary’s vs Oregon State Pick.

Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview

The Oregon State Beavers (20-10, 18-11 ATS) not only managed to avoid their third consecutive loss for the first time this season after losing to St. Mary’s and Portland, but they connected three wins, defeating Pacific, Pepperdine, and San Diego. However, Oregon State failed to make it fourth straight as it fell short of San Francisco 74-72 at home. Oregon State is 5th in the WCC Standings with six games behind the Gaels. Even if they lose, the Beavers will keep the No. 5 spot for the conference tourney.



Oregon State is averaging 76.8 PPG (110th) and is allowing 68.3 PPG (74th). The Beavers are getting 33.8 RPG (302nd) and dish out 14.8 APG (120th). Michael Rataj is the team’s top scorer with 17.6 PPG, a team-high 7.6 RPG, 2.1 APG, and a team-high SPG. Parsa Fallah adds 12.7 PPG and 4.0 RPG, while Nate Kingz has 11.6 PPG and 2.5 RPG.

St. Mary’s Gaels Betting Preview

The St. Mary’s Gaels (26-4, 14-15 ATS) are one of the hottest teams in basketball right now. Although their previous fantastic run of 10 consecutive wins came to an end with a narrow 65-64 loss to San Francisco, the Gaels are now on a new winning streak. St. Mary’s won the last six games, beating Gonzaga and Loyola Marymount on the road in the recent two. The Gaels are already crowned the WCC regular-season champs.

St. Mary’s averages 74.2 PPG (186th) and allows 60.7 PPG (4th). The Gaels are 29th in rebounds (39.5) and 60th in assists (15.9). Augustas Marciulionis leads the team with 14.0 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 6.1 APG, and 1.4 SPG. Paulius Murauskas follows him with 13.0 PPG and a team-high 8.2 RPG, while Mitchell Saxen contributes 10.3 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 2.0 APG, 1.3 SPG, and a team-high 1.3 BPG.

Why Oregon State will beat St. Mary’s

  • The road team has won each of Oregon State’s last three games.

Why Saint Mary’s will beat Oregon State

  • Saint Mary’s has won each of its last 23 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Oregon State has lost 14 of its last 16 night games following a home loss.
  • Saint Mary’s has won the first half in each of its last 23 night games at University Credit Union Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

St. Mary’s vs Oregon State Prediction

St. Mary’s and Oregon State have met just once and it was a few weeks ago when the Gaels secured a 63-49 win on the road.  Given the Gaels already secured the No. 1 spot in the WCC, I am not sure they will be using their starters much in this one. I could be wrong, but St. Mary’s can afford to relax and ease its fantastic defense, which is one of the best in the country. That said, I believe the hosts will be more lenient to the opponents, who are a solid offensive team. With no pressure, the Gaels can score freely on the other end, so I am going with Over. Oregon State has hit the game total Over in 22 of its last 33 games, while Oregon State has hit the team total Over in 21 of its last 32 games.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Over

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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