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Stanford vs Virginia Prediction 1/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Virginia (8-7) vs. Stanford (10-5)
January 11, 2025 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Stanford -8.5; Over/Under: 126.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Stanford vs Virginia prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, January 11th at Maples Pavilion in Stanford, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Stanford Cardinals Betting Preview

The Stanford Cardinals are 10-5 (2-2) this year after they defeated Virginia Tech by a score of 70-59 in their last game. Stanford trailed 30-25 at halftime, but they out scored Virginia Tech by a total of 45-29 in the second half in the win. The Cardinal shot 44.2% from the field, 37.5% on three pointers, and 88.2% on free throws in the game. Maxime Raynaud led Stanford with 19 points and 14 rebounds, while Oziyah Sellers added 19 points and three rebounds in the win. 


Prior to that victory, the Cardinal lost to Pittsburgh by a score of 83-68 and Clemson by a score of 85-71. Stanford has lost three of their last four games, but they did start conference play by beating Cal by a score of 89-81. Stanford has scored 76.4 points per game and they have allowed 71.1 points against per game, while also averaging 35.6 rebounds and 14.3 assists per game this season. Maxime Raynaud is averaging 20.7 points, 11.6 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game, while Jaylen Blakes is averaging 14.8 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game this season. Stanford is shooting 43.8% from the field, 76.1% on free throws, and 33.2% on three pointers this year. 

Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers are 8-7 (1-3) this season after they lost to California by a score of 75-61 in their last game. Virginia trailed 35-32 at halftime and was outscored 40-29 in the second half in the loss. The Cavaliers shot 32.8% from the field, 30.4% on three pointers, and 88.9% on free throws in the game. Jacob Cofie led Virginia with 12 points and four rebounds, while Andrew Rohde added 14 points and six assists in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Cavaliers lost to Louisville by a score of 70-50, but they did beat NC State by a score of 70-67 before that. Virginia has split their last four games and they opened conference play with a 63-51 loss to SMU. Virginia has scored 61.3 points per game and they have allowed 62.4 points against per game, while also averaging 31.3 rebounds and 14.3 assists per game this season. Elijah Saunders is averaging 12.1 points, 5.3 rebounds, and 0.8 assists per game, while Isaac McKneely is averaging 11.7 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game this year. Virginia is shooting 43% from the field, 74.6% on free throws, and 36.3% on three pointers this season. 

Why Stanford will beat Virginia

  • Stanford has won nine of its last 10 games at Maples Pavilion.
  • Virginia has lost four of its last five games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Stanford has won the first half in nine of its last 10 games at Maples Pavilion against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Stanford’s last 34 games have produced a total of 129+ points.
  • Four of Virginia’s last five day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 120 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Stanford ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent assists per game this season (9.3).
  • Stanford ranks 18th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (18.7).
  • Virginia ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (60.3).
  • Virginia ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (50.9).

Stanford vs Virginia Prediction 

Stanford comes into this matchup looking to put together back to back wins in conference play, as they picked up a 70-59 win over Virginia Tech last time out. The Cardinal have dropped three of their last four games and while they are only shooting 43.8% from the field, they are scoring 76.4 points per game this year. Virginia has lost two games in a row and they have scored 61 and 50 in those two losses. The Cavaliers are shooting 43% from the field, but they are scoring just 61.3 points per game. Virginia has been very good defensively this season, but their offense is one of the worst in the country. There is no way I am backing this Virginia team on the road with how they play offense. Take Stanford at home here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Stanford -8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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