Tennessee State vs Tennessee Prediction 11/13/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Tennessee State vs Tennessee Prediction

In this Tennessee State vs Tennessee prediction, Tennessee is coming in as a -29.5 home favorite and I think the number is deserved. The Vols haven’t lost yet and the defense is the reason why, they rank 14th in the whole country in points allowed and are outscoring teams by 27 a game. Tennessee State looks good on paper, but two of their three games were against non-Division I teams, so I wouldn’t read much into those numbers. When they finally played a Division I opponent they gave up 94 and lost by 30. Now they have to go on the road against the #11 team in the country, with a defense that barely lets anyone score, and I just can’t see them hanging around for long. Give me Tennessee to win this one comfortably at home and cover the spread.

Tennessee Volunteers Preview

Tennessee has opened the season with two home wins in two games. The Volunteers beat Radford 70-47 last time out, and Michigan State and Coastal Carolina are their next two opponents.

The Volunteers average 80 points per game and have allowed only 53. They are making 49.6% of their field goal attempts, but they have struggled from three, going 27.5% on 5.5 makes per game. Their opponents have had a much harder time, shooting 28.5% from the field and 21.6% from three-point range. Tennessee has been excellent at the foul line, hitting 16.5 free throws per game at 84.6%. The Volunteers average 42.5 rebounds to their opponents’ 33 and 16.5 assists to their opponents’ 9.5. They block 6 shots and record 9 steals per game. Turnovers are close to even, with Tennessee giving the ball away 13 times a game and forcing 14.5. The Volunteers commit 17 fouls per game and have an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.3.

Terrence Hill Jr. leads the Volunteers with 17.5 ppg on 54.5% shooting. DeWayne Brown II is averaging a double-double, with 10.5 ppg on 57.1% shooting and a team-high 14.5 rebounds per game. Dai Dai Ames adds 9.5 ppg on 46.2% from the field. Hill, Brown and Troy Henderson are tied for the team lead in assists with 3 per game each.

Tennessee State Tigers Preview

Tennessee State is 2-1 so far, winning both of its home games and losing its only neutral-site game. The Tigers ran past Fisk 123-73 at home in their last outing, and they will see South Florida and Oklahoma State next.

The Tigers have been scoring in bunches, at 104.7 points per game, while giving up 76. They are shooting 50.2% from the field and making 7 threes per game, though at just 25.3%. Opponents are hitting 41% of their shots and 32% from beyond the arc. Tennessee State makes 20.3 free throws a game and shoots 73.5% from the stripe. The Tigers average 45 rebounds per game and allow 38, and they have 22.3 assists per game compared to 11.7 for their opponents. Defensively, they are getting 14.3 steals and 8.7 blocks per game, and they force 23 turnovers while committing 14.7 themselves. They are called for 18.7 fouls per game and have an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.5.

Aaron Bradshaw is the Tigers’ leading scorer at 14.3 ppg on 54.3% shooting, and his 6.7 rebounds per game are also a team high. Deondrea Lindsey follows with 12.7 ppg on 56% from the field. Arterio Morris and Ty-Laur Johnson both average 11.7 ppg. Morris is shooting 39.3% from the field, while Johnson is at 50% and leads the team with 6.3 assists per game.

Tennessee State Tigers @ Tennessee Volunteers Betting Trends: November 13, 2026

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

• Tennessee has won each of its last 46 games against non-Conference opponents at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center.
• Tennessee State has lost each of its last 10 games against the Southeastern Conference.
• Tennessee State has lost the first half in each of its last seven road night games against the Southeastern Conference.

Why the Tennessee State Tigers will win

• Tennessee State has won nine of its last 10 night games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Tennessee’s last 12 games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
• Thirteen of Tennessee State’s last 14 games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Tennessee ranks T3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (53.0).
• Tennessee ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (28.5%).
• Tennessee State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for pace this season (86.4).
• Tennessee State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (8.7).