Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction 2/28/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Alabama (21-7) vs. Tennessee (20-8)
February 28, 2026 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Tennessee -4.5; Over/Under: 165.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Tennessee Volunteers meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Thompson-Boling Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tennessee vs. Alabama prediction.
Alabama Crimson Tide Recap
The Alabama Crimson Tide come into this game looking to add on to their 100-75 win over Mississippi State last time out to sit at 21-7 this season. After this game, Alabama will head on the road for a game against Georgia.
Crimson Tide Wins 7 Straight
Labaron Philon Jr. leads the Crimson Tide in scoring and assists with 21.3 PPG and 5 APG along with 3.3 RPG, while Aden Holloway has 16.9 PPG with 4.1 APG and 2.8 RPG. Latrell Wrightsell has 12.7 PPG with 2.8 RPG and 2.2 APG and Amari Allen has 12.5 PPG with 7.5 RPG and 3.4 APG to lead the Crimson Tide in rebounding so far this season. Aiden Sherrell has 11.2 PPG with 6.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Alabama so far this season. As a team, Alabama is averaging 92.9 PPG on 46% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 76.4% from the foul line this season.
Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win
- Alabama has won each of its last seven games.
- Tennessee has lost each of its last five Saturday games as an AP-ranked team.
Tennessee Volunteers Recap
The Tennessee Volunteers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 73-69 loss at the hands of Missouri last time out to sit at 20-8 this season. After this game, Tennessee will head on the road for a game against South Carolina.
Volunteers Have Four-Game Win Streak Snapped
Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads the Vols in scoring and assists with 18.1 PPG and 5.4 APG, while Nate Ament has 17.9 PPG with 6.5 RPG to lead the Vols in rebounding along with 2.5 APG to cap off the pair of double-digit scorers for Tennessee up to this point in the year. J.P. Estrella has 9.3 PPG with 5 RPG, while Jaylen Carey has 7.5 PPG with 6.2 RPG of his own and Felix Okpara has 7.2 PPG with 5.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 80.5 PPG on 46.8% shooting from the field, 34.7% from three and 69.6% from the foul line this season.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won each of its last 13 night games at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center.
- Alabama has lost five of its last six games at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of Tennessee’s last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
- Each of Alabama’s last eight games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 167+ points.
Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction
I’m on the volunteers here. This is a fantastic game, but I think it’s one where Alabama just hasn’t been as sharp on the road, and Tennessee has really started to crank up their play, especially at home. Off of the Missouri loss, I think Tennessee gets the win and cover at home in this one so give me Tennessee.