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Tennessee vs Texas Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Texas (19-14) vs. Tennessee (25-6)
March 14, 2025 3:30 pm EDT
The Line: Tennessee -9.5; Over/Under: 135.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Longhorns and the Tennessee Volunteers meet Friday in college basketball action from the Bridgestone Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tennessee vs Texas Prediction.

Matchup History

The Tennessee Volunteers won the lone meeting between these two teams by a final score of 74-70 on the road back on January 11th, 2025. The win made it three straight for the Vols in this head-to-head matchup.


Texas Recap

The Texas Longhorns come into this game fresh off of their 94-89 win over Texas A&M last time out to book their spot in the quarterfinals.

Longhorns Looking For A Third Upset In Three Days

Tre Johnson leads the Longhorns in scoring with 20.1 PPG along with 3.1 RPG and 2.7 APG while Arthur Kaluma has 12.6 PPG with a team-high 7.8 RPG to lead the Longhorns in rebounding and Jordan Pope has 11.1 PPG. Tramon Mark has 10.3 PPG with 3.7 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Texas so far this season. Kadin Shedrick has 8.4 PPG with 6.1 RPG as well this year. Julian Larry is also contributing 4.9 PPG with a team-high 3.2 APG to lead the Longhorns in the assist department up to this point in the year. As a team, Texas is averaging 78.2 PPG on 46.3% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three and 74.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won each of its last 13 Friday games.
  • Tennessee has lost four of its last five games at Bridgestone Arena.

Tennessee Recap

The Tennessee Volunteers come into the conference tournament as the 4-seed, finishing the year with a 25-6 overall record, including a 12-6 mark in SEC conference play.

Vols Looking For First SEC Crown Since 2022

Chaz Lanier leads the Vols in scoring with 17.9 PPG along with 3.9 RPG while Igor Milicic Jr. has 10.2 PPG with a team-high 7.3 RPG to lead the Vols on the glass. Zakai Zeigler has 13.1 PPG with 3 RPG and a team-high 7.5 APG to lead the Vols in the assist department up to this point in the year. Jordan Gainey has 10.9 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Tennessee up to this point in the year. Felix Okpara also has 7.7 PPG with 6.3 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Tennessee is averaging 74.5 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 34.6% from three and 73.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win

  • Texas has lost each of its last eight games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Tennessee has won each of its last six games when playing with a rest advantage.

Tennessee vs Texas Prediction

I’m on Texas here. The Longhorns look like they’ve finally woken out of their slumber, and are on the track to make an NCAA tournament appearance and there’s a good chance that their win over Texas A&M on Thursday put them in the tournament. However, I don’t think that Texas wants to leave it to chance, and I think we see this Longhorns team continue to compete as nothing is for sure in this unless you win the SEC tournament. The Vols are a solid team, but didn’t really win games by margin down the stretch and I think Texas can keep this one within single digits and give themselves a shot to win outright. Give me Texas and the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Texas +9.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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