Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction 2/21/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Tennessee (19-7) vs. Vanderbilt (21-5)
February 21, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Vanderbilt -3.5; Over/Under: 149.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 21st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Vanderbilt Commodores Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores have a 21-5 overall record and an 8-5 record in the SEC. They are coming off an 81-80 road loss against Missouri and their previous three games were an 82-69 home win against Texas A&M, an 84-76 road win against Auburn and a 92-91 home loss against Oklahoma.
Offensively, Vanderbilt averages 88.1 points per game, while allowing 73.9 points per game defensively. The Commodores shoot with 48% from the field and grab 36.4 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.8 assists per game. They average 5 blocks per game and 8.7 steals per game defensively.
Tyler Tanner leads Vanderbilt in scoring, with an average of 18.6 points per game, while shooting with 47.2% from the field and 86.3% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.3 assists. Devin McGlockton is the team’s leading rebounder with 6.9 per game.
Tennessee Volunteers Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers have a 19-7 overall record and a 9-4 record in the SEC. They are coming off an 89-66 home win against Oklahoma and their previous three games were a 73-63 home win against LSU, a 73-64 road win against Mississippi State and a 74-71 road loss against Kentucky.
Offensively, Tennessee averages 81.3 points per game, while allowing 69.2 points per game defensively. The Volunteers shoot with 47% from the field and grab 43 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.7 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 7.5 steals per game defensively.
Nate Ament leads Tennessee in scoring, with an average of 18.2 points per game, while shooting with 42.6% from the field and 79.3% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.4 rebounds. Ja’Kobi Gillespie leads the team in assists with 5.5 per game.
Tennessee Volunteers @ Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Trends: February 21, 2026
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Vanderbilt has won 22 of its last 24 games at Memorial Gymnasium against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Tennessee has lost each of its last four day games against Conference opponents.
- Vanderbilt has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 day games as an AP-ranked team.
Why the Tennessee Volunteers will win
- Tennessee has won 14 of its last 16 games against Vanderbilt.
- Tennessee has won the first half in each of its last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last four games have produced a total of 151+ points.
- Each of Tennessee’s last four day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Vanderbilt ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
- Vanderbilt ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (5.0).
- Tennessee ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.4%).
- Tennessee ranks T3rd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.0).
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction
In this Tennessee vs Vanderbilt Prediction, Vanderbilt is coming as -3 home favorites. Vanderbilt has been the better team this season and have a strong 14-11 ATS record, compared to Tennessee’s 11-15. Both teams have been in excellent form lately, as they are 5-2 and 7-1 in their last 7 and 8 games respectively, so I see no value on either side. Both teams are 8-3 to the under in their last 11 games combined, as Tennessee has the 54th-best defense in the entire nation. Take the under 149.5 points.