
Texas A&M vs Michigan Prediction 3/22/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Michigan (26-9) vs. Texas A&M (23-10)
March 22, 2025 5:15 pm EDT
The Line: Texas A&M -2.5; Over/Under: 141.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Michigan Wolverines and the Texas A&M Aggies meet Saturday in NCAA Tournament Second Round college basketball action from Ball Arena. Here’s a Texas A&M vs Michigan prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas A&M vs Michigan pick.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
Michigan looked pretty great in the win column for most of the year, but they did falter a bit at the end of the regular season. The Wolverines managed a solid 13-3 start with losses to only Wake Forest, Arkansas and Oklahoma. A 1-2 stretch with losses to Minnesota and Purdue (around a win over Northwestern) came in January, then wins over Penn State, Rutgers, Oregon, Indiana, Purdue, Ohio State, Nebraska and Rutgers again in the next nine games. After losses to Illinois, Maryland and Michigan State the Wolverines took out Purdue, Maryland and Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament on the way to the championship. After a win over UC San Diego on Thursday, the Wolverines hold a 26-9 record this year so far.
In the Thursday matchup with UC San Diego, Michigan came out of the first half with a 41-27 advantage. The Wolverines had to hang on during a 38-27 second half but ended up with the win 68-65. Tops in scoring was Vladislav Goldin with 14 points and seven rebounds. Tre Donaldson added 12 points with seven boards as well. Roddy Gayle put up 11 points with two boards in 27 minutes off the bench.
Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
Over on the Texas A&M side, they had a rough run at the end of February but otherwise carded a nice record in the regular season. The Aggies were 13-2 at the 15-game mark with losses to only UCF and Oregon. More losses to Alabama, Kentucky and Texas (with wins our LSU and Ole Miss) came in the next five games, then wins over Oklahoma, South Carolina, Missouri, Georgia and Arkansas. Texas A&M would lose to Mississippi State, Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Florida before wins over Auburn and LSU. Following a double-overtime loss to Texas in the conference tournament, the Aggies beat Yale in First Round action on Thursday. That gives Texas A&M a 23-10 record through 33 games this year so far.
In the Yale matchup during First Round activity on Thursday, the Aggies were in the locker room with a 40-29 advantage. Texas A&M scored 40 more points the rest of the way during an 80-71 victory. Leading the way was Pharrel Payne, who came off the bench for 25 points and 10 rebounds on a double-double. Wade Taylor led the starters with 16 points and five assists, while Jace Carter notched 10 bench points with four rebounds in just nine minutes of work.
Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win
- Texas A&M has won each of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents.
- Michigan has lost each of its last five games against the Southeastern Conference.
- Texas A&M has won the first half in each of its last seven games against the Big Ten Conference.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won 30 of its last 34 day games against non-Conference opponents.
- Texas A&M has lost three of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Michigan has won the first half in each of its last 12 games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan’s last six games against the Southeastern Conference at neutral venues have produced a total of 142+ points.
- Each of Texas A&M’s last four NCAA Tournament games against Top 8 seeds have produced a total of 151+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas A&M ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (5.5).
- Texas A&M ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.0%).
- Michigan ranks T20th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
- Michigan ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.9%).
Texas A&M vs Michigan Prediction
I’ll lean toward Texas A&M. This should be a pretty excellent matchup regardless, though. The Aggies didn’t have a ton of issues with Yale in their Thursday game, posting a nice 51.7 percent shooting with a 37-29 rebounding edge. It wasn’t a perfect effort though, as Texas A&M went just 6-of-25 (24 percent) from outside and 12-of-21 (57.1 percent) from the line alongside 11 turnovers. Still, that makes 80 or more points in three of the last four games (a 3-1 run) for the Aggies, including a nice win over a great Auburn team.
As for Michigan, things got a little too close for comfort in the second half of the UC San Diego game on Thursday. The Wolverines ended up shooting a tepid 42.1 percent from the floor and just 11-of-20 (55 percent) from the free throw line in the victory, but did have a 43-37 rebounding advantage. The major issue however, was the 14 turnovers for 15 UC San Diego points. Michigan really needs to clean up the ball-handling issues in this matchup or they’ll be in trouble. Should be a great game to watch, though.