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Texas A&M vs Yale Prediction 3/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Yale (22-7) vs. Texas A&M (22-10)
March 20, 2025 7:25 pm EDT
The Line: Texas A&M -7.5; Over/Under: 138.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Yale Bulldogs and the Texas A&M Aggies meet Thursday in NCAA Tournament first-round college basketball action from Ball Arena. Here’s a Texas A&M vs Yale prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Texas A&M vs Yale pick.

Yale Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Bulldogs didn’t start out the season so hot this year, but once the Ivy League games kicked off Yale really got rolling. A 6-6 record awaited the Bulldogs over their first 12 outings, featuring losses to UIC, Purdue, Minnesota, Delaware, Rhode Island, and UTEP. After a winning streak over Howard, Brown, Columbia, Dartmouth, Harvard, Princeton, Penn, Cornell, Penn, Princeton, Cornell, Columbia, and Dartmouth in succession, the Bulldogs took a loss to Harvard. Since then it’s been wins over Brown, Princeton, and Cornell on the way to a 22-7 record across 29 games this year—and an Ivy League championship.

In the final round of the conference tournament versus Cornell, Yale held a five-point edge by the break. The Bulldogs maintained form on a 53-52 run from there, powering out a 90-84 win in the end. Leading team scorer John Poulakidas carded 25 points with three rebounds and three assists, while Nick Townsend added 19 points with five rebounds, four assists, and two steals. Bez Mbeng put up 15 points with seven boards and four assists in 40 minutes. Tops off the bench was Isaac Celiscar with nine points, four rebounds and two assists in 28 minutes.

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

Over on the Texas A&M side, they’ve had a couple of sketchy runs amid a pretty tough schedule this year, but overall they’re doing well. The Aggies went 13-2 over their first 15 outings of the season, falling to UCF and Oregon during that time. A 2-3 run with losses to Alabama, Kentucky, and Texas (with wins over LSU and Ole Miss) came next, then five straight wins over Oklahoma, South Carolina, Missouri, Georgia and Arkansas. After losses to Mississippi State, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, and Florida, the Aggies beat Auburn and LSU before a double-OT loss to Texas. In total that gives Texas A&M a 22-10 record across 32 games so far.

Matched up against Texas last Thursday, the Aggies were down by six points at the break. Texas A&M posted a 46-40 run the rest of the way to force overtime, but when the dust settled the Aggies had a loss of 94-89. Wade Taylor was the team’s lead scorer in the defeat with 29 points, seven rebounds and three assists. Both Andersson Garcia (13 points; 10 rebounds) and Henry Coleman (10 points; 13 rebounds) carded double-doubles in the losing effort as well.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Texas A&M has won each of its last seven games against non-conference opponents.
  • Yale has lost 12 of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Yale has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Yale Bulldogs will win

  • Yale has won 16 of its last 17 games.
  • Texas A&M has lost each of its last three night games after coming off overtime.
  • Texas A&M has lost the first half in five of its last six games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Yale’s last 15 night games has produced a total of 140+ points.
  • Each of Texas A&M’s last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue has produced a total of 139+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas A&M ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (5.5).
  • Texas A&M ranks 360th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (77.0%).
  • Yale ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (30.2).
  • Yale ranks 356th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (27.9).

Texas A&M vs Yale Prediction

I’m going to take a stab at Yale here. The Bulldogs have their hands full with a tricky matchup against a top-shelf national squad in this game, but I think they’re lucky enough to stay in range. Yale gave up 55.8 percent shooting to a pretty good Cornell team in their last outing though, and lost the rebounding battle 30-27. That said, the Bulldogs shot 50 percent from the field themselves with 56.5 percent (13-of-23) from 3-point range and just three turnovers. That sort of discipline and long-range scoring will be huge here. Yale has scored well also, with fewer than 70 points in just two of the last 19 games—a 17-2 run.

As for Texas A&M, they’re coming off a frustrating loss to a tricky Longhorns squad and will be looking to take out their frustrations on the national stage. Texas A&M shot just 34.7 percent from the field and 27-of-40 (67.5 percent) from the line in their loss to Texas, alongside 13 turnovers for 12 Longhorns points. The Aggies have been giving up some pretty hefty points totals since mid-February, so if Yale can get the 3-point bombs going early the Bulldogs might have a cover chance.

Andrew's Free Pick: Yale Bulldogs +7.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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