Texas Tech vs Baylor Prediction 3/13/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Baylor Bears meet on Thursday in college basketball action at T-Mobile Center. Here’s a Texas Tech vs Baylor prediction. This article will include a Texas Tech vs Baylor Pick.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears (19-13, 10-18-3 ATS) bounced back from a three-game losing streak, their longest of the year, with wins over Oklahoma State and TCU. The Bears did lose the final game of the regular season to Houston and ended in 7th place in the Big 12 Standings but opened the conference tournament with a comfortable 70-56 victory over Kansas State.

Baylor is averaging 76.5 PPG (110th) and is allowing 68.9 PPG (90th). The Bears are getting 35.9 RPG (168th) and dish out 14.8 APG (114th). Norchad Omier is the team’s top performer with 15.5 PPG, a team-high 10.8 RPG, and 1.2 SPG. VJ Edgecombe has 15.1 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 3.3 APG, and a team-high 2.1 SPG, while Robert Wright III contributes 11.4 PPG, 2.1 RPG, a team-high 4.4 APG, and 1.0 SPG.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (24-7, 17-14 ATS) finished the regular season on a strong note with three straight wins over Kansas, Colorado, and Arizona State. Thanks to that winning streak, Texas Tech secured the No. 2 seed for the conference tournament and skipped the opening two rounds, so the Red Raiders are fresh to take on the Bears on Thursday.

Texas Tech averages 81.1 PPG (31st) and allows 66.8 PPG (43rd). The Red Raiders are 125th in rebounds (36.6) and 34th in assists (16.7). JT Toppin leads the team with 18.1 PPG, a team-high 9.3 RPG, and a team-high 1.2 BPG. Chance McMillian follows him with 14.7 PPG and 4.2 RPG, while Darrion Williams chips in 14.3 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 3.8 APG, and 1.2 SPG.

Why Texas Tech will beat Baylor

• Texas Tech has won 14 of its last 15 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Baylor has lost each of its last six night games against AP-ranked opponents at T-Mobile Center.
• Baylor has lost the first half in five of its last six night games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Baylor’s last eight night games has produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Each of Texas Tech’s last five night games at T-Mobile Center has produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+21.4).
• Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for points per possession this season (1.21).

Texas Tech vs Baylor Prediction

Baylor won six of the previous ten H2H encounters but Texas Tech was victorious in the last two, including the first meeting of this season when it was 73-59. Texas Tech had more than enough time to prepare for this game, unlike Baylor who played yesterday and had less than 24 hours to get ready. The Bears will be encouraged following a strong effort in the previous round, but I believe the Red Raiders are currently stronger and will progress to the semis. I am backing Texas Tech to win and cover.