Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction 2/11/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Colorado (14-10) vs. Texas Tech (17-6)
February 11, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Tech -13.5; Over/Under: 156.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Texas Tech vs Colorado prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, February 11th at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 17-6 (7-3) this season after they defeated West Virginia by a score of 70-63 in their last game. Texas Tech led 39-27 at halftime, but they were outscored 36-31 in the second half in the win. The Red Raiders shot 48% from the field, 54% on three pointers, and 85% on free throws in the game. JT Toppin led Texas Tech with 22 points and nine rebounds, while Donovan Atwell added 15 points and three rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Texas Tech lost to Kansas by a score of 64-61 and UCF by a score of 88-80. The Red Raiders have scored 82.3 points per game with 37.3 rebounds and 16.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 73.5 points against per game this season. JT Toppin is averaging 21.8 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, while Christian Anderson is averaging 19.3 points and 7.7 assists per game for the Red Raiders. Texas Tech is shooting 46.8% from the field, 71.0% on free throws, and 39.1% on three pointers this season.
Colorado Buffaloes Betting Preview
The Colorado Buffaloes are 14-10 (4-7) this year after they defeated Arizona State by a score of 78-70 in their last game. Colorado led 39-32 at halftime and they added 39 more points in the second half in the win. The Buffaloes shot 51% from the field, 27% on three pointers, and 71% on free throws in the game. Barrington Hargress led Colorado with 23 points and four assists, while Sebastian Rancik added 17 points and 11 rebounds in the win.
Prior to that game, Colorado lost to Baylor by a score of 86-67, but did beat TCU by a score of 87-61 before that. The Buffaloes have scored 81.3 points per game with 34.8 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 78.1 points against per game this season. Isaiah Johnson is averaging 16.3 points and 2.5 assists per game, while Barrington Hargress is averaging 14.1 points and 4.4 assists per game for the Buffaloes. Colorado is shooting 47.8% from the field, 75.8% on free throws, and 36.0% on three pointers this year.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won each of its last 16 games at United Supermarkets Arena against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Colorado has lost each of its last 11 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Colorado has lost the first half in each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Colorado Buffaloes will win
- Colorado has won six of its last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Texas Tech has lost four of its last five February night games as an AP-ranked team.
- Texas Tech has lost the first half in each of its last five February night games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
- Twenty-nine of Colorado’s last 34 games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 156 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas Tech ranks T6th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.5).
- Texas Tech ranks T22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.4).
- Colorado ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.61).
- Colorado ranks 29th among Division 1 teams for turnover percentage this season (12.4%).
Texas Tech vs Colorado Prediction
Texas Tech comes into this matchup after losing two of their last three games, but they did bounce back with a win over West Virginia on Sunday. The Red Raiders are shooting 47% from the field and they have allowed 64 or fewer in back to back games. Colorado has won two of their last three games, but they are 0-4 in their last four road games. The Buffaloes are shooting 48% from the field, but they have allowed 86+ in three of their last five. I don’t think Colorado’s defense is good enough on the road here, so I will take Texas Tech to cover at home.