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Texas vs Florida Prediction 2/25/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Florida (21-6) vs. Texas (17-10)
February 25, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas +6.5; Over/Under: 157.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Texas vs Florida prediction for this College Basketball game on Wednesday, February 25th at the Moody Center in Austin, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview

The Texas Longhorns are 17-10 (8-6) this season after they lost to Georgia by a score of 91-80 in their last game. Texas trailed 45-35 at halftime and they allowed 46 more points in the second half in the loss. The Longhorns shot 57% from the field, 50% on three pointers, and 75% on free throws in the game. Matas Vokietaitis led Texas with 22 points and five rebounds, while Dailyn Swain added 21 points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Texas defeated LSU by a score of 88-85 and Missouri by a score of 85-68. The Longhorns have scored 85.1 points per game with 38.3 rebounds and 12.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 75.4 points against per game this season. Dailyn Swain is averaging 17.9 points and 7.3 rebounds per game, while Matas Vokietaitis is averaging 15.7 points and 6.9 rebounds per game for the Longhorns. Texas is shooting 49.7% from the field, 74.9% on free throws, and 35.4% on three pointers this season. 

Florida Gators Betting Preview

The Florida Gators are 21-6 (12-2) this year after they defeated Ole Miss by a score of 94-75 in their last game. Florida led 43-32 at halftime and they scored 51 points in the second half for the easy win. The Gators shot 57% from the field, 50% on three pointers, and 86% on free throws in the game. Alex Condon led Florida with 24 points and six assists, while Thomas Haugh added 20 points and nine rebounds in the win. 

Prior to that game, Florida defeated South Carolina by a score of 76-62 and Kentucky by a score of 92-83. The Gators have scored 86.4 points per game with 45.8 rebounds and 16.6 assists per game, while they have allowed 71.2 points against per game this season. Thomas Haugh is averaging 17.3 points and 6.2 rebounds per game, while Alex Condon is averaging 14.0 points and 8.0 rebounds per game for the Gators. Florida is shooting 47.3% from the field, 70.9% on free throws, and 30.1% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Texas Longhorns will win

  • Texas has won each of its last six night games at Moody Center.
  • Texas has won the first half in each of its last six night games at Moody Center.

Why the Florida Gators will win

  • Florida has won each of its last 11 night games as a top-10 AP-ranked team.
  • Texas has lost 11 of its last 12 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Florida has won the first half in each of its last seven games.

Total Points Facts

  • Sixteen of Texas’ last 18 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.
  • Each of Florida’s last five night games have produced a total of 153 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Texas ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (20.1).
  • Texas ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for free throw attempts per game this season (26.9).
  • Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (45.8).
  • Florida ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.5%).

Texas vs Florida Prediction 

Florida comes into this matchup on a nice winning streak and they are one of the hottest teams in the country, but they will be on the road here. The Gators are shooting 47% from the field and they have scored at least 86 points in four of their last five. Texas had their winning streak snapped in their last game, but they have won five of their last six. The Longhorns are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored at least 85 points in three straight. I think Florida is the better team, but this is a tough spot for them and I think the Texas offense can keep it close. Take the Longhorns and the points here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Texas +6.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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