Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction 3/10/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Troy Trojans and the Arkansas State Red Wolves meet Monday in college basketball action from the Pensacola Bay Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams split the regular season meetings between the two sides with Arkansas State winning the first meeting at Troy by a final score of 84-78 on January 11th 2025. Before Troy got their revenge at A-State on February 15th, 2025, by a final score of 84-78. 71-70. The win for Troy snapped a three-game win streak for Arkansas State in this head-to-head matchup.

Troy Recap

The Troy Trojans come into the Sun Belt title game after picking up a 79-60 win over James Madison last time out to improve to 22-10 on the year.

Trojans Looking For First Sun Belt Title Since 2017

Tayton Conerway leads the Trojans in scoring, assists and steals with 13.8 PPG, 4.9 APG and 3.1 SPG along with 4.7 RPG while Myles Rigsby has 12 PPG with 4.2 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Troy up to this point in the year. Thomas Dowd has 9.4 PPG with a team-high 6.6 RPG to lead the Trojans on the glass so far this season while Jackson Fields has 7.4 PPG with 4.7 RPG as well on the year. Marcus Rigsby Jr. has 6.9 PPG as well this season. As a team, Troy is averaging 73.1 PPG on 43.6% shooting from the field, 29.7% from three-point range and 70.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Arkansas State has lost eight of its last nine night games played at neutral venues.
• Troy has won seven of its last eight games.

Arkansas State Recap

The Arkansas State Red Wolves punched their ticket to the Sun Belt Final after a 74-71 win over South Alabama in their last game to improve to 23-9 on the year.

Red Wolves Trying To Make Amends For Last Year’s Championship Game Loss

Taryn Todd leads the Red Wolves in scoring with 15.1 PPG along with 4.6 RPG and 3.3 APG while Kobe Julien has 11.8 PPG with 5.6 RPG and Joseph Pinion’s chipped in 12.3 PPG with 4 RPG. Izaiyah Nelson also has 10.1 PPG with a team-high 8.8 RPG to lead the Red Wolves in assists and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Arkansas State so far this season. Derrian Ford has 7.6 PPG while Terrance Ford Jr. has 4.9 APG of his own as well to lead A-State in assists so far this season to go along with 9 PPG. As a team, Arkansas State is averaging 79.3 PPG on 42.5% shooting from the field, 31.7% from three and 73% from the foul line this season.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

• Arkansas State has won each of its last five games.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of Arkansas State’s last 13 games have produced a total of 141+ points.
• Ten of Troy’s last 11 night games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 139+ points.

Troy vs Arkansas State Prediction

I’m on Arkansas State here. I get the case to be made for Troy after how they looked against James Madison, but Troy also shoots a ton of threes, more than any team in the Sun Belt but hit them at just under 31 percent. If this Troy team isn’t hitting threes, the Trojans can’t come through. I think Arkansas State is the better team to begin with, and I think the Red Wolves get it done when all is said and done, and I look for the Red Wolves to go dancing. Give me Arkansas State in this one.