Troy vs Nebraska Prediction 3/19/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Troy (22-11) vs. Nebraska (26-6)
March 19, 2026 12:40 pm EDT
The Line: Nebraska -13; Over/Under: 136.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Troy vs Nebraska Prediction for this NCAA Tournament 1st Round matchup on Thursday, March 19th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Nebraska Cornhuskers Preview
The Nebraska Cornhuskers have a 26-6 overall record and a 15-5 record in the Big Ten conference. They are coming off a 74-58 loss against Purdue and their previous three games were an 84-75 win against Iowa, a 72-52 road loss against UCLA and an 82-67 road win against USC.
Offensively, Nebraska averages 77.3 points per game, while allowing 66.2 points per game defensively. The Cornhuskers shoot with 46% from the field and grab 34.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 18 assists per game. They average 2.6 blocks per game and 7.3 steals per game defensively.
Pryce Sandfort leads Nebraska in scoring, with an average of 17.8 points per game, while shooting with 47.1% from the field and 85.3% from the free throw line. Rienk Mast is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.8 per game. Sam Hoiberg leads the team in assists with 4.3 per game.
Troy Trojans Preview
The Troy Trojans have a 22-11 overall record and a 12-6 record in the Sun Belt conference. They are coming off a 77-61 win against Georgia Southern and their previous three games were a 78-70 win against Southern Miss, an 80-65 win against ULM and a 78-59 win against Louisiana.
Offensively, Troy averages 80.3 points per game, while allowing 73.1 points per game defensively. The Trojans shoot with 45% from the field and grab 38.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 8 steals per game defensively.
Victor Valdes leads Troy in scoring, with an average of 14.8 points per game, while shooting with 40.1% from the field and 75.9% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.6 assists. Thomas Dowd is the team’s leading rebounder with 10.1 per game.
Troy Trojans @ Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Trends: March 19, 2026
Why the Nebraska Cornhuskers will win
- Nebraska has won each of its last 22 games against non-Conference opponents.
- Troy has lost three of its last four games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.
- Nebraska has won the first half in seven of its last eight day games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Troy Trojans will win
- Troy has won each of its last four games.
- Troy has won the first half in each of its last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Troy’s last nine games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 137+ points.
- Each of Nebraska’s last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 143+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Nebraska ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (14.5).
- Nebraska ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.85).
- Troy ranks 30th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (69.3%).
- Troy ranks 35th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.1).
Troy vs Nebraska Prediction
In this Troy vs Nebraska Prediction, Nebraska coming as -13 favorites. Nebraska has been the better team this season but both teams have almost identical ATS records. Both teams have been in good form lately, with a 4-2 and a 4-0 record in their last 6 and 4 games respectively, but they also struggle against the spread, with a 4-6 and 3-5 record in their recent games played. Nebraska has the 13th-best defense in the country and are also shooting the ball better, so I expect them to get the job done comfortably today. Take Nebraska and lay the -13 points in this one.