UCF vs Oregon State Prediction 4/1/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Oregon State (20-12) vs. UCF (17-16)
April 1, 2025 5:30 pm EDT
The Line: UCF -4.5; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The UCF Knights and Oregon State Beavers meet Tuesday in the college basketball Crown First Round at the MGM Grand Garden Arena. Here’s a UCF vs Oregon State Prediction. This article will include a UCF vs Oregon State Pick.
UCF Knights Betting Preview
The UCF Knights recently played Oklahoma State, West Virginia, Utah, and Kansas. UCF will play for the first time since March 12 and is 4-10 since starting the season with a 13-6 record.
The UCF Knights are averaging 78.6 points on 42 percent shooting and allowing 79.8 points on 45.2 percent shooting. Keyshawn Hall is averaging 18.8 points and 2.4 assists, while Darius Johnson is averaging 16.7 points and 3.3 rebounds. Jordan Ivy-Curry is the third double-digit scorer and Moustapha Thiam is grabbing 6.3 rebounds. The UCF Knights are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The UCF Knights are allowing 33.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.
Oregon State Beavers Betting Preview
The Oregon State Beavers recently played San Francisco, Saint Mary’s, and Pepperdine. Oregon State hasn’t played since March 8 and is riding a three-game losing streak.
The Oregon State Beavers are averaging 76.4 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 68.5 points on 43.3 percent shooting. Michael Rataj is averaging 16.9 points and 2 assists, while Parsa Fallah is averaging 12.8 points and 4 rebounds. Nate Kingz is the third double-digit scorer and Demarco Minor is grabbing 4.7 rebounds. The Oregon State Beavers are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 78.8 percent from the free throw line. The Oregon State Beavers are allowing 34.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.8 rebounds per game.
Why the Oregon State Beavers will win
- Oregon State has won eight of its last nine day games.
- UCF has lost five of its last six day games.
- UCF has lost the first half in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the UCF Knights will win
- Oregon State has lost 14 of its last 16 games played at neutral venues.
- UCF has won each of its last five games against non-Conference opponents.
- UCF has won the first half in each of its last six games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Oregon State’s last 18 games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
- Twenty-seven of UCF’s last 31 day games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Oregon State ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.3).
- Oregon State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.6%).
- UCF ranks 13th among Division 1 teams for free throws made per game this season (17.5).
- UCF ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (71.8).
UCF vs Oregon State Injury Report
Oregon State doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. UCF will be without Rokas Jocius, Jaylin Sellers, and Cameron Simpson. Mikey Williams is questionable with an undisclosed issue.
UCF vs Oregon State Prediction
Neither team has played in nearly a month, and they both finished the season in horrible form. Oregon State lost three straight games to end the year, while UCF has been a different team since starting the first half off solid. UCF is the more battle tested team, but I’m not excited to lay chalk with a squad that’s lost 10 of its last 14 games.
UCF also is one of the worst defensive teams in the country. Oregon State is a top-25 offensive field goal percentage team, so it can give that bad UCF defense problems. Also, Oregon State is a profitable 19-12 ATS on the season. I’ll grab the points with Oregon State.
