College Basketball Picks

UCF vs. SMU Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/9/23

SMU Mustangs (10-21) vs. Central Florida Knights (17-13)
March 9, 2023 2:30 pm EDT
The Line: Central Florida Knights -7.5 / SMU Mustangs +7.5; Over/Under: +137.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The SMU Mustangs and the UCF Knights meet in college basketball action from the Dickies Arena on Thursday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


UCF is listed as a 7.5-point favorite with the total for this game set at 137.5 points.


SMU comes into this game with a clean injury report while UCF has C.J. Walker listed as out for the year with a leg injury.

Matchup History

UCF’s 85-53 win back on January 8th, 2023, snapped SMU’s two-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.  


SMU is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games against a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the over is 17-5 in their last 22 games overall. UCF is 22-10 ATS in their last 32 neutral site games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the over is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games overall.


I’m sticking with the Knights here. I haven’t been an SMU fan at all this season and their form to close out the regular season isn’t going to change things or win anyone over. UCF hasn’t necessarily been a team to blow their opponents away this season, but they’re the better team by a fair margin here and won the lone meeting handily. I’ll lay it and play it with UCF here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: UCF -7.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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